BMW PGA Championship Picks, Odds & Predictions for Wentworth

BMW PGA Championship Picks, Odds & Predictions for Wentworth

The BMW PGA Championship has always been a marquee event on the DP World Tour, but the 2023 edition is elevating its prestige even further. 

For the first time, all 12 members of Team Europe will compete here before jetting off to the Ryder Cup. 

This illustrious field includes defending champion Shane Lowry, as well as previous winners Rory McIlroy, Billy Horschel and Tyrrell Hatton. 

As always, the tournament will unfold at Wentworth Golf Club, a course renowned for leveling the playing field. 

It demands a comprehensive skill set, ensuring that only those who excel from tee-to-green stand a chance of hoisting the trophy come Sunday.

Naturally, the best online betting sites, including BetMGM, FanDuel, and Caesars hold some intriguing 2023 BMW PGA Championship odds. 

2023 BMW PGA Championship Details, Odds & Betting Tips

Okay, the FedEx St. Jude Championship pares down the 70-player playoff to 50 in advance of the BMW Championship next week.  

First launched in 1955 as the British PGA Championship, the BMW PGA Championship became the DP World Tour's cornerstone event in 1972. 

Its scheduling shifted from May to the fall in 2019, following the US PGA Championship's move to May, enhancing the event's competitive field. 

The BMW PGA is now the fourth tournament in the five-event Rolex Series, which also includes prestigious competitions like the Abu Dhabi Championship, Dubai Desert Classic, and the Scottish Open. 

The series will conclude with the DP World Tour Championship in two months, capping off a stellar year of golf.

2023 BMW PGA Championship: Course Preview

• Wentworth Club - West Course
• Par 72
• 7,267 Yards

Wentworth's West Course may not be lengthy by contemporary standards, but it offers a comprehensive parkland test that rigorously examines all aspects of a golfer's skill set—from driving and iron play to short game acumen around the greens. 

The course is adorned with trees and heather, making it a labyrinth that can easily inflate scores for those not in top form. This challenging terrain has traditionally separated the elite from the pack. 

Recent champions like Shane Lowry, Billy Horschel, and Tyrrell Hatton, as well as golfing legends like Rory McIlroy, Luke Donald, and Colin Montgomerie, have demonstrated the all-around prowess needed to conquer this course. 

Metrics like Greens in Regulation, Scrambling, and overall tee-to-green performance are indispensable for securing victory at Wentworth.

BMW PGA CHAMPIONSHIP: KEY STATS

• Greens in Regulation (GIR) - Similar to last week's Irish Open, GIR is a pivotal metric for success at Wentworth. Four out of the last five champions have ranked in the top 3 for GIR, with the two most recent winners leading in this category.
  
• Scrambling - Wentworth is a course where the Scrambling statistic becomes particularly relevant. In the last five tournaments, three winners have topped the field in Scrambling, while all five have been within the top 9 ranks.
  
• Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green (SG Tee to Green) - In keeping with the demanding nature of a championship-level course, players excelling in overall SG Tee-to-Green metrics are likely to be in the running for the trophy come Sunday.

2023 BMW PGA Championship: The Field

This week features an exceptional lineup, with four of the world's top 10 golfers taking the stage. 

The list is led by Rory McIlroy, ranked second globally, followed by Jon Rahm at #3 and Viktor Hovland at #4. 

Additionally, the entire European Ryder Cup team is participating, including defending champion Shane Lowry and team captain Luke Donald.

Newcomer Tom Kim is set to make his debut, adding a layer of excitement. Billy Horschel aims to bounce back from a less-than-ideal final nine holes in Ireland last week, seeking to replicate his 2021 triumph. 

Adam Scott is making his third straight appearance in the BMW PGA, while Tom Hoge is also gearing up for his inaugural round at Wentworth.

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2023 BMW PGA Championship: Betting Preview, Best Bets & Odds

BMW PGA Championship Bet #1: Rory McIlroy (+700) at FanDuel

Betting on one of the favorites in a golf tournament often carries risks, but backing Rory McIlroy at (+700) with FanDuelseems like a sound choice. 

While Viktor Hovland is another strong contender after back-to-back wins, including the Tour Championship, he's had a three-week hiatus, which could affect his momentum for a third consecutive win.

The remaining top contenders present various concerns. Jon Rahm's recent form has been lackluster, finishing outside the top 20 in his last three events. 

Tommy Fleetwood's record at this course is uninspiring, and Matt Fitzpatrick's ball-striking isn't what it was in 2022. Defending champion Shane Lowry has had an uneven year, and Tyrrell Hatton just missed a cut.

McIlroy stands out as an exception, consistently performing well at Wentworth Club. He clinched the event in 2014 and has secured finishes of 2nd, 9th, and 2nd in his last three appearances. 

Additionally, his participation in last week's Irish Open should keep him in prime form. Backing McIlroy at +700 appears to be a prudent wager for a second-time win.

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BMW PGA Championship Bet #2: Tommy Fleetwood (+1400) at BetMGM

Fleetwood's golf season ignited with a 3rd-place finish at the Valspar Championship in March, setting the tone for an impressive run. 

He has landed in the top 25 in ten of his last fourteen starts, with six finishes in the top 6, including a near-win as runner-up in the Canadian Open. 

Fleetwood has also been consistent in the majors, never finishing worse than 33rd and securing top 10s in The Open and US Open. Over the last three months, he ranks 4th in strokes gained among the world's top 150 players, trailing only Rory McIlroy, Viktor Hovland, and Scottie Scheffler.

Despite these accolades, a breakthrough PGA Tour win remains elusive, highlighted by his frustrating 2nd-place finish in Canada. However, Fleetwood has had no issues closing out wins in Europe and should thrive upon his return home. 

He boasts a strong record at Wentworth with eleven appearances and five top-25 finishes, including a 6th-place finish in 2015 and 12th and 13th in the last three years, so odds of +1400 to win here with BetMGM seem generous.

Furthermore, his form correlates well with similar courses; he's a two-time winner of the Nedbank Challenge and has multiple top-10s at Crans and a solid record at the BMW International Open. Fleetwood is experiencing his best golf stretch since 2019, and a win feels imminent here.

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BMW PGA Championship Bet #3: Ryan Fox (+50000) at Caesars

Ryan Fox may be disappointed for missing a golden opportunity at the Irish Open last week, but his 3rd-place finish signals a strong return to form. 

That performance marked his first regular DP World Tour start in nearly seven months, having spent most of the season on the PGA Tour. 

After a lukewarm start, Fox shot an impressive 66 in the third round, putting him just three shots behind the leader entering the final day. While he led entering the back nine, he couldn't maintain momentum, particularly struggling on the par 5s.

Despite the missed opportunity, Fox's recent form, including a 2nd-place finish in the Nedbank and 3rd in last year's BMW International Open, suggests he's capable of a top performance at Wentworth at huge odds of +50000 with Caesars to win. 

His best at this course is a 20th-place finish in 2020, but given his recent form, a better result seems likely. His driving was particularly strong at the K Club, ranking 1st off-the-tee and 15th in greens-in-regulation. 

If he fine-tunes his approach play to match his usual standards, Fox could pose a serious threat this week.

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As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 BMW PGA Championship, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.

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