2022 Hawaii Bowl prediction, odds, lines: San Diego State vs. MTSU picks, best bets from proven computer model

The San Diego State Aztecs and Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders will play in the 2022 Hawaii Bowl. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET from Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu. MTSU started the season 3-4 but won four of five games to earn a bowl bid. SanDiego State started 2-3 but rebounded to win five of its last seven games. The Aztes are 6.5-point favorites.

SportsLine's computer model has selected its picks and Hawaii Bowl 2022 predictions. San Diego State is a 6.5-point favorite against MTSU. The Blue Raiders are 5-1 against the spread in their past six non-conference games. SDSU is 4-0 ATS in its past five December games and is betting on 48 points.

San Diego State is playing in the Hawaii Bowl. The Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their past five December games. MTSU is 5-0 against the spread in its past six non-conference games and 5.1 against spread overall.

San Diego State's defense is strong up front. Jonah Tavai earned second-team All-American honors. Michael Shawcroft led the team in tackles with 77. Patrick McMorris made 59 solo tackles. Dallas Branch made 3 interceptions. MTSU finished the season with 12 interceptions, including 3 by Branch.

MTSU is ranked no. 5 in overall offense with averages of 29.7 points and 390 total yards per game. Blue Raiders have one of the deepest receiving units in the country with eight players who have notched at least 14 receptions and five more who've hauled in between five and eight. Jaylin Lane leads the team with 59 catches for 829 yards and four touchdowns. DJ England-Chisolm has 22 receptions for 359 yards, tied with Lane for theteam lead among receivers. Frank Peasant has 747 yards on 165 carries for nine touchdowns and 276 receiving yards.

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 41 combined points. One side of the spread hits well over 50% of time.