Boise State vs. UNLV Mountain West Championship odds, line, picks: Predictions for Saturday's MWC title game from advanced computer model

The UNLV Rebels host the Boise State Broncos on Saturday in the Mountain West Championship Game at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Both teams went 6-2 in the MWC along with San Jose State, and computer rankings determined the matchup. UNLV (9-3 overall) lost 37-31 to SJSU last Saturday but still earned the spot, while the Broncos (7-5) beat Air Force 27-19 last Friday.       

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. The latest Boise State vs, UNLV odds list the Broncos as 2-point favorites, according to the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 58.5. (Head to SportsLine's college football odds page for the latest odds on every game).

Before you make any UNLV vs. Boise State or college football predictions, you NEED to see the predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a strong profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It finished the 2023 regular season a profitable 13-9 on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Broncos are second in the Mountain West in both total offense (437.1 yards per game) and rushing (207.5) and average 32 points per game (fourth). Boise State has won four of its past five, with each victory by at least eight points. The loss was at Fresno State. Running back Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 1,113 yards (6.1 per carry) and 13 touchdowns.

The model also has considered that the Rebels have the top scoring offense in the MWC at 35.5 points per game. Quarterback Jayden Maiava is fourth in the conference in passing, averaging 219 yards per game. He has 2,646 passing yards for the season, and wideout Ricky White has 75 catches for 1,300 yards (17.3 per reception) and has scored seven touchdowns.

Now, the model has broken down Saturday's Boise State vs. UNLV matchup, and we can tell you it is leaning Under on the total for the Mountain West Championship. It also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks!