UNLV vs. Wyoming odds, spread, line: 2023 college football picks, Week 11 predictions from proven simulation

The Wyoming Cowboys and UNLV Rebels will battle to stay in the Mountain West Conference title conversation when they meet in Friday night's college football Week 11 matchup. The Rebels (7-2, 4-1) enter the home matchup at Allegiant Stadium in good position, as they sit one game behind leader Air Force (8-1, 5-0) with a matchup next week against the Falcons. But Wyoming (6-3, 3-2) also is one of the five teams within two games of AFA in the MWC standings and could have an outside shot at the title game with a victory. The Cowboys played last Friday, beating Colorado State 24-15, while UNLV routed New Mexico 56-14.   

Kickoff is set for 10:45 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The latest Wyoming vs. UNLV odds list the Rebels as 3-point favorites, according to the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 51. Before making any UNLV vs. Wyoming picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Wyoming vs. UNLV and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for UNLV vs. Wyoming: 

• Wyoming vs. UNLV spread: Rebels -3
• Wyoming vs. UNLV over/under: 51 points
• Wyoming vs. UNLV money line: Cowboys +134, Rebels -158
• WYO: Is 8-4 ATS in its past 12 as an underdog.
• UNLV: Is 15-6 ATS since the start of last season.
• Wyoming vs. UNLV picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Wyoming vs. UNLV live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why UNLV can cover

The Rebels have lost to No. 2 Michigan and Fresno State. The Wolverines overwhelmed them, but UNLV looked to bed the better team against the Bulldogs. If not for four turnovers in the road matchup, they might have won, as they had 112 more yards than the Bulldogs. The UNLV offense leads the Mountain West in scoring at 36.7 points per game behind a running game that averages 199 yards per game (second in MWC) and has produced 28 rushing TDs (T-2 in FBS).      

Jayden Maiava has 1,828 passing yards, but the run game is the bread-and-butter. Vincent Davis has a team-high 520 yards, and Donavyn Lester and Jai'Den Thomas have each scored eight times while combining for 773 rushing yards. The Cowboys also favor the run, but that isn't the best approach against the Rebels. The Wyoming passing offense averages less than 150 yards (125th in FBS), and the UNLV run defense is third in the MWC, allowing 125 per game. See which team to pick here.

Why Wyoming can cover

The Cowboys have won the past two meetings by at least 30 points and have won five of the past six. Their defense should keep them in the game, as it ranks third in the MWC in scoring (25.1 points per game) and fourth in yards allowed (375.6). The unit has 16 takeaways, and linebacker Easton Gibbs is the lynchpin, with a team-high 81 tackles, 1.5 sacks, four passes defended and two forced fumbles. Wrook Brown has three interceptions and a fumble recovery. 

Quarterback Andrew Peasley is a dual threat and has 1,195 passing yards and 235 on the ground. The senior has accounted for 19 touchdowns and has thrown just four interceptions. Peasley had two TD passes last week, and Harrison Wayley rushed for 128 yards. Wyoming is seventh in the MWC in rushing (152.6 yards), and they'll try to make this a hard-nosed affair. Wyoming is plus-8 in turnover margin, tied for 10th-best in FBS, just behind UNLV (plus-9). See which team to pick here.

How to make UNLV vs. Wyoming picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 50 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.