Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins predictions, picks and best bets

Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins begin a three-game series at Target Field on Monday at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Red Sides are on a five- game win streak. Minnesota is 5-2 in their last 7 games at home. Rick Porcello and Jose Berrios are the pitchers on the mound for the RedSox. Boston has the best splits against RHPs. Twins have the league's best OPS. Their relievers have struggled recently.

The Twins have the best OPS this season. The Red Sox had a .712 OPS through the first month of the season, but since then they have posted an .841 OPS.

Boston outscored Baltimore, 5-3, in the 10th inning of an 8-6 win Sunday. The Red Sox have a high-contact .802 OPS against right-handed pitchers. Minnesota's bullpen has struggled recently, posting a 5.79 ERA/4.94 xFIP.

The value is on the Red Sox side of the +120/138 moneyline. The higher-scoring game makes the run line a better proposition.

A 10-run total is priced evenly in the early going. A drift to 9.5 would bring more acceptable value.