Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 7-21-23 MLB Picks
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Seattle Mariners meet in game one of their MLB weekend series from T-Mobile Park on Friday night. The Jays fans usually travel out in droves for this matchup on the West Coast, can the Jays pick up where they left off after winning 2 of 3 in the first series against the Mariners this season? Or will the Mariners exact some revenge at home? Let’s find out.
Jays Offense Needs To Wake Up
The Toronto Blue Jays have been rolling along in the month of July, but the offense came out flat in the first couple of games in their weekday set against the San Diego Padres before a 4-0 win in Thursday’s series finale salvaged a win for the Jays ahead of this West Coast trip. That being said, Toronto’s still 4-2 in their 6 games post All-Star break, and that includes an impressive sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Toronto’s charge has been led by the likes of Bo Bichette, who leads the Jays with 130 hits, 16 home runs and a .319 batting average while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 15 home runs and a team-high 61 RBIs this season. Matt Chapman’s also contributed a team-best 30 doubles for Toronto as well on the year. Yusei Kikuchi gets the start against his former team here and is 7-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season.
Mariners Earn Split With Twins
The Seattle Mariners have had their ups and downs for much of the season but have still managed to fight their way back to .500, earning a series split with the Minnesota Twins thanks to a 5-0 win over Minnesota in Thursday’s series finale. The W leaves the Mariners 5.5 games out of the second Wild Card spot and while there’s still plenty of time and games to be played, the Mariners can’t afford to take any opponent lightly as August is right around the corner. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 95 hits while Teoscar Hernandez has a team-high 16 home runs along with 52 RBIs for the Mariners this season. Eugenio Suarez has 14 homers of his own along with a team-high 58 RBIs as well. Bryce Miller will get the start for the Mariners here and is 6-3 with a 3.66 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season.
Seattle Mariners Team Facts
The Mariners have won seven of their last eight home games against the Blue Jays.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last 10 games between the Blue Jays and Mariners.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Blue Jays and Mariners.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home favourites against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts
The Blue Jays have won each of their last three games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Mariners following a win.
The Blue Jays have won the first inning in each of their last four Friday games as underdogs against the Mariners.
The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last five Friday games as underdogs.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
Bryce Miller has recorded six strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Tom Murphy has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Tom Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Tom Murphy has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Julio Rodriguez ranks T8th in the league in Steals (22) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
Yusei Kikuchi has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL opponents.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five games against AL West opponents.
Matt Chapman has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Bo Bichette has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays' last six games against AL West opponents.
Bo Bichette ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.319) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Seattle Mariners ranks 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (247).
The Seattle Mariners ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (940).
The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
The Toronto Blue Jays ranks T3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (915).
Chris’ Pick
I have to look at the under in this game. Both of these pitchers have had their share of ups and downs this season, but both come in in pretty decent form, with the Mariners also not all that great against left-handed pitching and Kikuchi having to have an edge pitching against his former team. Toronto’s offense was sluggish against San Diego though on the other side, and a west coast trip on no rest likely won’t help. Give me the under here.
