Bucks vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Milwaukee Bucks (53-21) hit the court as double-digit favorites against the Detroit Pistons (16-58) on March 27, 2023. Milwaukee is favored by 15 points. A point total of 232 has been set for the game.

Bucks vs. Pistons Odds

• Bucks odds to win: -1545
• Pistons odds to win: +908
• Spread: Bucks (-15)
• Total: 232

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Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, March 27, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
• TV: BSDET and BSWI

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Pistons?

Bucks and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Bucks are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 15 points or more this season.

The Pistons are 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 15 points or greater this season.

The two teams average a combined 4.6 fewer points per game (227.4) than this matchup’s total of 232 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 231 points per game, one fewer than the over/under for this game.

The Bucks’ average point total in outings this season is 229.1, 2.9 points less than the total in this game.

The average point total for Detroit this year is 2.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Milwaukee is 40-29-5 against the spread this season.

So far this season, the Pistons have compiled a 31-42-1 record against the spread.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks average 116.7 points per game (ninth in the league) while giving up 112.4 per contest (eighth in the NBA). They have a +318 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 4.3 points per game.

The 48.8 rebounds per game the Bucks average rank first in the league, and are 4.3 more than the 44.5 their opponents collect per outing.

Milwaukee knocks down 14.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league), 2.9 more than its opponents (11.9). It is shooting 36.6% from beyond the arc (12th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.8%.

The Bucks’ 113.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank ninth in the NBA, and the 108.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank third in the league.

The Bucks have been much better offensively at home, where they average 119.9 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 113.4 per game. Defensively, they are slightly better in home games, where they surrender 111.9 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow opponents to average 112.9 per game.

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons have been outscored by 7.9 points per game (posting 110.7 points per game, 28th in league, while allowing 118.6 per outing, 27th in NBA) and have a -589 scoring differential.

Detroit ranks 21st in the league at 42.5 rebounds per game. That’s 2.5 fewer than the 45 its opponents average.

The Pistons make 11.4 three-pointers per game (20th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12. They shoot 35% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36%.

The Pistons average 107.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (28th in league), and concede 115.8 points per 100 possessions (27th in NBA).

Detroit is scoring more points at home (112.5 per game) than away (108.7).

Bucks Key Players to Watch

The Bucks get 31.1 points, 11.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists from Antetokounmpo.

Jrue Holiday contributes 18.9 points per game and adds five rebounds and 7.3 assists for the Bucks.

Holiday makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Bucks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.

Holiday picks pockets to the tune of 1.2 takeaways per game, and Brook Lopez collects 2.5 rejections per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

Jaden Ivey tallies 15.4 points per game. He also adds 3.9 rebounds per outing and 4.9 assists per contest.

Jalen Duren has per-game averages of 8.7 points, 1.2 assists and 8.7 rebounds this season.

Ivey cashes in on 1.5 treys per game.

The Pistons’ defensive efforts get a lift from Killian Hayes (1.4 steals per game) and Duren (0.9 blocks per game).

• Pick ATS: Pistons (+ 15)
• Pick OU:

  Under (232)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 121 – Pistons 108