Thunder vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Oklahoma City Thunder (37-39) head into their matchup against the Detroit Pistons (16-59) on March 29, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Oklahoma City is favored by 11 points. The game features a point total of 231.5.

Thunder vs. Pistons Odds

• Thunder odds to win: -629
• Pistons odds to win: +462
• Spread: Thunder (-11)
• Total: 231.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: BSOK and BSDET

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Pistons?

Thunder and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Pistons are 9-11-1 against the spread when an underdog by 11 points or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 3.2 fewer points per game (228.3) than this game’s over/under of 231.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.7 more points per game, 235.2, than this matchup’s over/under of 231.5 points.

The Thunder’s average total in matchups this season has been 234.1, 2.6 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

The average point total for Detroit this season is two points fewer than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 45-30-1 record against the spread.

The Pistons have gone 32-42-1 ATS this year.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder’s +82 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 117.6 points per game (fifth in the NBA) while allowing 116.5 per contest (20th in the league).

The Thunder fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.9 boards. They are pulling down 43.7 rebounds per game (12th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 46.6 per contest.

Oklahoma City connects on 12.3 three-pointers per game (13th in the league), while its opponents have made 13 on average.

The Thunder’s 112.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in the NBA, and the 111.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 11th in the league.

The Thunder’s offense has been much better in home games (121.4 PPG) compared to their play on the road (113.8 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better at home (116 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (117.1 PPG allowed).

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons are being outscored by eight points per game, with a -598 scoring differential overall. They put up 110.7 points per game (28th in NBA), and give up 118.7 per outing (27th in league).

Detroit falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. It collects 42.5 rebounds per game (21st in league) compared to its opponents’ 45.1.

The Pistons connect on 11.4 three-pointers per game (19th in the league) at a 34.9% rate (23rd in NBA), compared to the 12 their opponents make, shooting 36% from beyond the arc.

The Pistons record 107.9 points per 100 possessions (28th in league), while conceding 116 points per 100 possessions (27th in NBA).

At home, Detroit scores 112.6 points per game. On the road, it averages 108.7.

Thunder Key Players to Watch

Josh Giddey accumulates 16.5 points and 7.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game.

Isaiah Joe leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Jalen Williams averages 1.4 steals per game, while Aleksej Pokusevski has 1.3 blocks per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

Jaden Ivey pours in 15.7 points per game. He also contributes 3.9 rebounds and five assists per game this season.

This season, Jalen Duren has a statline that includes 8.9 points, 1.2 assists and 8.7 rebounds per game.

Ivey makes 1.5 treys per game.

The Pistons’ defensive effort gets a lift from Killian Hayes (1.4 steals per game) and Duren (0.9 blocks per game).

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 11)
• Pick OU:

  Over (231.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Thunder 123 – Pistons 109