Bucks vs. Suns Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (39-28) are 2-point underdogs against Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks (43-24) Sunday, March 17, 2024 at Fiserv Forum. The game begins at 1:00 PM ET on ABC. The matchup has an over/under set at 229 points.

Bucks vs. Suns Odds

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Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Suns?

Bucks and Suns Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Bucks are 24-29-1 against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.

The Suns are 6-10 against the spread when an underdog by 2 points or more this year.

These teams average 237.2 points per game combined, 8.2 more than the over/under of 229.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 231.3 points per game, 2.3 more than the over/under in this game.

The Bucks’ average point total in matchups this season is 237.5, 8.5 points higher than the total in this game.

Phoenix’s games this year have averaged a total of 231.0 points, 2.0 more than the point total in this matchup.

Milwaukee is 29-37-1 against the spread this season.

The Suns’ ATS record is 26-39-2 this year.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks’ +222 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 120.4 points per game (fourth in the NBA) while giving up 117.1 per outing (20th in the league).

The 44.0 rebounds per game the Bucks average rank 12th in the league. Their opponents grab 44.0 per outing.

Milwaukee hits 14.3 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) while shooting 37.4% from deep (10th in the NBA). It is making 1.7 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 12.6 per game while shooting 36.0%.

The Bucks rank fifth in the NBA with 119.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 16th in the league defensively with 116.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

So far in 2023-24, the Bucks’ offense has been better at home, where they score 122.7 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 118.2 per game. On defense, they have been better when playing at home, where they concede 115.9 points per game, versus road games, where they let their opponents to score 118.3 per game.

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns outscore opponents by 2.6 points per game (posting 116.8 points per game, 11th in league, and giving up 114.2 per contest, 16th in NBA) and have a +172 scoring differential.

Phoenix wins the rebound battle by 2.7 boards on average. It records 44.3 rebounds per game, ninth in the league, while its opponents grab 41.6.

The Suns connect on 12.0 three-pointers per game (21st in the league) at a 37.5% rate (eighth-best in NBA), compared to the 13.3 per outing their opponents make, shooting 36.3% from deep.

The Suns average 118.6 points per 100 possessions (10th in league), while allowing 116.0 points per 100 possessions (13th in NBA).

Phoenix is putting up more points at home (116.9 per game) than away (116.7).

Bucks Key Players to Watch

The Bucks get 30.8 points, 11.2 rebounds and 6.4 assists from Antetokounmpo.

Damian Lillard contributes with 4.4 boards and 6.9 assists per game in addition to his 24.3 PPG scoring average.

Lillard makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Bucks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.

Antetokounmpo averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while Brook Lopez collects 2.5 rejections per contest.

Suns Key Players to Watch

Durant racks up 28.1 points per game and also tacks on 6.7 rebounds and 5.4 assists per contest.

Jusuf Nurkic has per-game averages of 11.6 points, 3.8 assists and 11.1 rebounds this season.

Grayson Allen cashes in on 2.7 treys per game.

Nurkic’s 1.0 steal and Durant’s 1.2 blocks per game are important to the Suns’ defensive production.

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