Bucks vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

A pair of the league’s top scorers hit the court when Giannis Antetokounmpo (fourth, 30.9 PPG) and the Milwaukee Bucks (32-16) visit Luka Doncic (second, 34.7 PPG) and the Dallas Mavericks (26-22) on Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET on BSSW. The Bucks are 3.5-point favorites. The matchup’s point total is set at 251.5.

Bucks vs. Mavericks Odds

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Bucks and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Bucks are 13-25-1 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.

In games this season in which they were an underdog by 3.5 points or more, the Mavericks have a 6-6 record against the spread.

The Bucks and the Mavericks combine to average 9.3 fewer points per game than the over/under of 251.5 set for this matchup.

Milwaukee and Dallas have seen its opponents average a combined 13.0 fewer points per game than the over/under of 251.5 set for this matchup.

The Bucks’ average point total in outings this year is 243.8, 7.7 points below the total in this game.

The average total for Dallas’ games this year is 14.6 fewer points than the point total of 251.5 in this outing.

Milwaukee’s ATS record is 18-29-1 this season.

So far this season, the Mavericks have put together a 24-24-0 record against the spread.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks average 123.9 points per game (second in the league) while giving up 119.9 per outing (23rd in the NBA). They have a +189 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 4.0 points per game.

The 44.4 rebounds per game the Bucks average rank 10th in the NBA. Their opponents record 43.9 per outing.

Milwaukee hits 14.2 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league), 2.3 more than its opponents (11.9).

The Bucks average 121.6 points per 100 possessions (third in the league), while allowing 117.7 points per 100 possessions (18th in the NBA).

In 2023-24, the Bucks’ offense has been better at home, where they score 125.6 points per game, compared to on the road, where they average 121.8 per game. Defensively, they have been better when playing at home, where they concede 119.2 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to average 120.9 per game.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks put up 118.3 points per game (eighth in league) while allowing 118.6 per contest (21st in NBA). They have a -18 scoring differential.

Dallas comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 4.4 boards. It collects 41.4 rebounds per game (26th in league) compared to its opponents’ 45.8.

The Mavericks hit 15.0 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 1.7 more than their opponents. They are shooting 37.1% from deep (11th in NBA), and opponents are shooting 37.0%.

The Mavericks average 118.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (12th in league), and allow 119.2 points per 100 possessions (23rd in NBA).

At home, Dallas scores 120.0 points per game. Away, it scores 116.2.

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Antetokounmpo accumulates 30.9 points and 11.6 rebounds per game, with 6.1 assists.

Damian Lillard’s averages this season are 25.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game.

Lillard makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Bucks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.

Antetokounmpo averages 1.4 steals per game, while Brook Lopez swats 2.7 shots per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic has put up 34.7 points, grabbed 8.6 rebounds and handed out 9.6 assists per game so far in 2023-24.

Doncic hits 3.9 treys per game.

The Mavericks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Doncic’s 1.4 steals and Dereck Lively II’s 1.4 blocks per game.

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