Grizzlies vs. Bucks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Odds are against the Milwaukee Bucks (58-22), who are a 7.5-point underdog when they hit the court against the Memphis Grizzlies (50-30) on April 7, 2023. The matchup has a point total of 229.5.

Grizzlies vs. Bucks Odds

• Grizzlies odds to win: -325
• Bucks odds to win: +256
• Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
• Total: 229.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, April 7, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: NBA TV, BSWI, and BSSE

Who Will Win Grizzlies vs. Bucks?

Grizzlies and Bucks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Grizzlies have a 10-14-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 7.5 points or more.

These teams average 234 points per game combined, 4.5 more than the total of 229.5.

Memphis and Milwaukee have seen its opponents average a combined 3.7 fewer points per game than the over/under of 229.5 set in this outing.

The average point total for Grizzlies games this year is 0.3 more points than the over/under of 229.5 in this matchup.

The average total in Milwaukee’s games this year is 0.5 more points than the point total of 229.5 for this outing.

So far this season, Memphis has put together a 36-40-4 record against the spread.

The Bucks are 42-33-5 ATS this year.

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies average 116.9 points per game (ninth in the league) while allowing 112.9 per contest (12th in the NBA). They have a +315 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by four points per game.

The 46.7 rebounds per game the Grizzlies average rank second in the league, and are 2.3 more than the 44.4 their opponents collect per contest.

Memphis knocks down 12 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), while its opponents have made 12.9 on average.

The Grizzlies rank 18th in the league by averaging 112.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second in the NBA, allowing 108.3 points per 100 possessions.

The Grizzlies have been significantly better offensively at home, where they score 119.8 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 113.8 per game. Defensively, they are much better when playing at home, where they surrender 109.2 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow their opponents to score 116.9 per game.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks put up 117.1 points per game (sixth in league) while giving up 112.9 per contest (12th in NBA). They have a +337 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 4.2 points per game.

The 48.9 rebounds per game Milwaukee accumulates rank first in the league, 4.7 more than the 44.2 its opponents pull down.

The Bucks make 14.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league) while shooting 36.7% from beyond the arc (11th in NBA). They are making 2.8 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12 per game at 35.2%.

The Bucks rank ninth in the NBA with 114.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth defensively with 109 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, Milwaukee scores 119 points per game. Away, it averages 115.3.

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

The Grizzlies active leader in points and assists this season is Ja Morant, who scores 26.4 points per game to go with 8.1 assists.

Jaren Jackson Jr. contributes with 6.8 boards and 0.9 assists per game in addition to his 18.3 PPG scoring average.

Desmond Bane leads active Grizzlies in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Tyus Jones picks up one steal per game, while Jackson compiles three rejections per contest.

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Bobby Portis has been among the team’s best in both scoring (14.1 points per game) and rebounding (9.7 rebounds per game) while adding 1.5 assists per contest.

Jevon Carter’s per-game averages this season are 8.1 points, 2.4 assists and 2.5 rebounds.

Carter averages 1.7 made threes per game.

Carter is a solid defensive option with 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocks per game.

• Pick ATS: Bucks (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (229.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 118 – Grizzlies 112