Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The St. Louis Cardinals (46-59) will look to Lars Nootbaar, currently on a two-game homer streak, against the Chicago Cubs (52-51) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, at Busch Stadium.

Oddsmakers project the Cardinals as a tight favorite (-111 moneyline odds to win) against the Cubs (-109). The matchup has an over/under set at 10 total runs.

The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of July 29, 2023 at 7:15 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Cardinals vs Cubs Betting Lines

Cardinals Betting Insights

• This season, the Cardinals have been favored 57 times and won 25, or 43.9%, of those games.
• St. Louis has a record of 24-32 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -111 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
• St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 104 games with a total this season.
• The Cardinals are 49-55-0 against the spread in their 104 chances this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Cubs Betting Insights

• The Cubs have come away with 22 wins in the 51 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has a mark of 21-29 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 103 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Cubs have an against the spread record of 52-51-0 in 103 games with a line this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright

• Wainwright’s team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in five innings pitched against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday.
• Wainwright has made nine starts of five or more innings in 12 chances this season, and averages 4.7 frames when he pitches.
• He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
• Wainwright’s team is 1-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Wainwright’s team has won five of his 12 starts this season.
• Out of Wainwright’s 12 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon

• Taillon (4-6) takes the mound first for the Cubs in his 18th start of the season. He has a 5.75 ERA in 83 2/3 innings pitched, with 73 strikeouts.
• His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing seven hits.
• Taillon will look to pitch five or more innings for his 10th straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.9 frames per outing.
• In two of his 17 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
• The Cubs are 3-6 in Taillon’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Taillon’s team has won five of his 17 starts.
• Taillon’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 17 games.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Cardinals Hitting Trends

• The Cardinals have put up two or more dingers in 53 games this season, and are 34-19 in those outings.
• St. Louis is 27-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has put up eight or more hits 72 times this season, and has a 45-27 record in those games.
• St. Louis is 41-12 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Cardinals are 14-18 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

• They are 24-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-2.
• They have a record of 49-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Chicago has a 40-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have a 22-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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