Celtics vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Boston is acolossal favorite against San Antonio when the Jayson Tatum-led Celtics (51-23) and the Keldon Johnson-led Spurs (19-55) square off on March 26, 2023. The Celtics are 16.5-point favorites.

Celtics vs. Spurs Odds

• Celtics odds to win: -1800
• Spurs odds to win: +1000
• Spread: Celtics (-16.5)

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: NBCS-BOS and BSSW

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Spurs?

Celtics and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Spurs have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 16.5 points or more this year (0-1).

So far this season, Boston has compiled a 38-33-3 record against the spread.

The Spurs are 30-44-0 against the spread this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics’ +434 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 117.9 points per game (third in the NBA) while giving up 112.0 per contest (fourth in the league).

The Celtics record 45.1 rebounds per game (seventh in the league) compared to the 44.1 of their opponents.

Boston makes 16.0 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 4.2 more than its opponents (11.8). It is shooting 37.7% from beyond the arc (fifth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.1%.

The Celtics rank third in the league by averaging 115.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are fourth in the NBA, allowing 109.3 points per 100 possessions.

The Celtics have scored at a much higher clip in home games than away from home in the 2022-23 season (120.7 at home versus 115.2 on the road), though they have given up fewer points in home games than on the road (111.5 opponent points per home game versus 112.5 on the road).

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs have been outscored by 10.0 points per game (posting 112.3 points per game, 24th in league, while conceding 122.3 per outing, 30th in NBA) and have a -743 scoring differential.

San Antonio ranks 16th in the NBA at 43.4 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 fewer than the 44.7 its opponents average.

The Spurs connect on 11.0 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league), 1.3 fewer than their opponents.

The Spurs rank 30th in the league averaging 107.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 30th, allowing 117.4 points per 100 possessions.

San Antonio averages 114.2 points per game at home, and 110.3 away.

Celtics Key Players to Watch

The Celtics get 30.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists from Tatum.

Marcus Smart’s averages this season are 11.3 points, 3.2 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game.

The Celtics get 3.2 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Smart averages 1.6 steals per game, while Derrick White has 0.9 blocks per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Johnson puts up 22.0 points per game and also tacks on 5.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest.

This season, Zach Collins has a statline that includes 11.2 points, 2.8 assists and 6.3 rebounds per game.

Johnson averages 2.1 made threes per game.

The Spurs’ defensive effort gets a boost from Tre Jones’ 1.3 steals and Collins’ 0.7 blocks per game.

• Pick ATS: Celtics (- 16.5)
• Prediction:
  Celtics 126 – Spurs 106