Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, spread, line: Sunday Night Football picks, prediction by NFL model on 139-103 roll

The Kansas City Chiefs travel to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football. The game is a rematch of Super Bowl LV, which the Buccaneers won 31-9. Tampa is favored by two points. Over/under is 47. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up almost $7,00 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception.

The model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Buccaneers and has made its picks and predictions. Chiefs are 11-12 against the spread in their last 23 games and 12-10 against a spread against Buccaneers in last 22 games.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers money line is Chiefs +115, Buccaneers -135. Chiefs are 11-12 against the spread in their last 23 games. The Buccaneers are 12-10 against against in last 22 games against spreads.

Tampa Bay's offense is struggling. The Chiefs' defense is playing well. Kansas City has allowed only one rushing touchdown this season. Tampa Bay is converting only 32.6% of third down chances against the Chiefs. Chiefs vs. Buccaneers is on Sunday Night Football. NFL model predicts a Chiefs win.

Tampa Bay is 8-1 in the last 9 games against AFC opponents. The Buccaneers are also strong on defense, leading the NFL in points allowed per game (9.0), points per drive (0.75), turnovers created (eight), turnover rate (22.2%), and rushing touchdowns allowed (zero). Tampa Bay's third defense is top-tier, allowing opponents to convert on only 30.6% of chances.

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations.