Chiefs vs. Vikings Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 5: Minnesota Can Surprise Kansas City

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06 October 2023

Chiefs vs. Vikings Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 5: Minnesota Can Surprise Kansas City

The Minnesota Vikings host the Kansas City Chiefs at U.S. Bank Stadium, as we share our top Chiefs vs. Vikings predictions based on the NFL odds from our best sports betting apps. Can the Vikings pull off a home upset over one of the favorites in the Super Bowl odds?

Despite jumping out to a 17-0 lead on Monday Night Football, the Kansas City Chiefs struggled to put Zach Wilson and the New York Jets away last week. The Chiefs won 23-20, and two of their three wins this season have been by one possession.

The Minnesota Vikings secured their first win of the season by defeating the Carolina Panthers 21-13 in Week 4, and while Minny holds a 1-3 record, all of their games have been decided by eight points or fewer.

Hereis our best Chiefs vs. Vikings prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).

Chiefs vs. Vikings prediction

Vikings +3.5 (-105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Thereare actually two really solid plays in this game. One is the Vikings againstthe spread, and the other is the Over. We’re going to go with the spread, butif you’re looking to parlay this weekend, this is the game to consider.

TheChiefs absolutely dominated the Chicago Bears two weeks ago, but other thanthat, they haven’t looked like a great football team this season. Three oftheir four games have been decided by eight or fewer points, and they seemedlike the worse team for the majority of their game against the Jets.

TheVikings are 1-3, but they could easily be 4-0. Over the first three weeks, theyfound ways to lose close games, and while we’re not saying they win this game,their offense is good enough to keep them close throughout.

KirkCousins had his worst game of the season last week, but he has thrown for 1,214yards and 11 touchdowns this season. His favorite target, Justin Jefferson, hasalready racked up 543 yards and three touchdowns.

The defense is allowing 367.3yards this season, and Patrick Mahomes will exploit the secondary. That’s whywe like the Over. But with how this line is moving and how both teams have beenplaying despite their records, we like the Vikings at home even more.

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

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Chiefs vs.Vikings best odds

All of our best sports betting apps are offering the spread at +3.5, but only Caesars is offering aprice better than -110. If you were to parlay the spread and the Over atCaesars, you get +273, which is well worth taking.

Chiefs vs.Vikings odds

TheChiefs opened as six-point favorites, and despite 62% of wagers backing them,the spread has dropped all the way to 3.5. This signals that oddsmakers feelgood about this line even though the public is acting differently than them.Perhaps the key number comes into play, but we think the spread is going tosettle right where it is.

Thetotal opened at 52.5 and that is where it has stayed. Around 64% of bettors arebacking the Over, so there is a chance that this number goes even higher.However, oddsmakers don’t generally put out totals much higher than this, so ifthere is any movement, it won’t be much.