Eagles vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks, Odds Week 11

sportsbookreview.com

17 November 2023

Eagles vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks, Odds Week 11

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles in a Super Bowl rematch on Monday Night Football, and we have our best Eagles vs. Chiefs predictions for Monday Night Football based on the best NFL odds at our best sports betting apps.

The Philadelphia Eagles currently hold the best record in football, losing just one game all season. However, they’re 2.5-point road underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football.

The Chiefs have won seven of their last eight games, primarily because of their defense. They’re allowing just 15.9 points per game, and they’ve held all but one of their opponents to 21 or fewer points.

NFL Week 11 predictions and Week 11 best bets, along with our Week 11 NFL props to accompany our best Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction for Monday Night Football (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction: Monday Night Football

Under 45.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

It’s shocking to see a game featuring Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes with a total listed at fewer than 50 points. Yet, when you look at offensive production, defensive performance, and results from earlier in the season, it’s not hard to see why this number is so low.

The Chiefs are tied with the San Francisco 49ers for the best scoring defense in football, and 11 weeks in, it’s clear this isn’t a fluke. They’ve held eight of their nine opponents to 21 or fewer points, and they haven’t given up more than 24 in a game. If you’re thinking it’s because of their opponents, think again. They have faced three top-7 scoring offenses in the NFL, and two were held to 17 or fewer points.

The Eagles average 28 points per game, scoring at least that many in five of their nine games this season. Yet, when playing top-10 defenses, they’ve scored 25 or fewer points in two of their three games, including just 14 against the New York Jets.

With two of the best quarterbacks in football on the field, this game could undoubtedly go Over, which is why this is only a three-star play. Yet, while the Eagles allow 21.7 points per game, they’ve only allowed more than 23 points in three games this year. The Chiefs’ offense won’t top that number Monday, as they’re ranked 13th in the league in scoring.

$1,500 Back in Bonus Bets

Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook

Eagles vs. Chiefs best odds

Four of our best sports betting apps offer the same total for the same price. Only FanDuel is asking more than -110 for the Under. While all four other sportsbooks are good options for straight-up plays, we’d recommend BetMGM if you want to parlay.

We recommend taking whichever team gets the extra half-point, as we believe this will be a field goal game. At the moment, that means backing the Chiefs against the spread. Of the best sports betting sites, BetMGM has the best price for the Chiefs to cover.

Eagles vs. Chiefs odds for Monday Night Football

The Chiefs opened as three-point favorites, but the spread has moved below the key number. Though they’re favored by just 2.5, the price for the Chiefs to cover is -115 or -120 at all five major sportsbooks. This signals that the spread will move back to three before long. With 60% of wagers backing the Chiefs, you should get in sooner rather than later if you’re backing the home team.

The number opened at 45.5 and it has not moved despite 83% of bettors backing the over. The price for the over at every major sportsbook is -110, so we don’t expect much movement before kickoff. The lack of movement to this point suggests that oddsmakers are very confident in the under.