Chargers vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 7

sportsbookreview.com

20 October 2023

Chargers vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 7

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Los Angeles Chargers in a key AFC West showdown as we make our best Chargers vs. Chiefs predictions based on the best NFL odds.

The Los Angeles Chargers (2-3) have suffered all three losses by a combined eight points. The defense is allowing 391.6 yards per game, including 289 through the air.

The Kansas City Chiefs haven’t looked dominant in many games, but they’ve won five in a row and could put a stranglehold on the division with a win on Sunday. Four of the Chiefs’ six games have gone under their posted totals.

Alongside our Best Bets for Week 7, here is our best Chargers vs. Chiefs prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Chargers vs. Chiefs prediction

Chargers +5.5 (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Chargers desperately need to win this football game as loss drops them to 2-4 and 3.5 games behind the Chiefs in the AFC West. While many teams need wins at this time of the year, the Chargers have the talent to compete and potentially pull off the upset.

Since quarterback Justin Herbert came into the league, five of the six meetings between these two teams have been decided by six or fewer points. The only one that wasn’t was a 17-point win for the Chargers. Last season, the Chiefs won both games by three points.

Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes could be in line for a huge game against the worst pass defense in football, but the Chiefs have scored fewer than 20 points twice this season, and they struggle to put up big numbers on anyone. Against the bad Minnesota Vikings’ secondary, they managed just 27 points in a 27-20 victory.

Even when the Chargers’ defense struggles, their offense is good enough to keep them in any game. They have scored 24 or more points in four of their five games this season. Considering how close games between these two teams always are and how much the Chargers need this win, we have to go with the underdog to cover.

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook

Chargers vs. Chiefs best odds

DraftKings (-108)

All the best sports betting apps are offering the spread at 5.5 at the moment. Four of the five major sportsbooks are asking -110 for +5.5, while DraftKings is asking -108. That makes it an easy choice for this wager.

We recommend getting in sooner rather than later on this bet. While we don’t expect much movement because the Chiefs aren’t receiving much support, this number could drop to five before kickoff. With no key numbers in play, there’s no benefit to waiting, especially when you risk losing a half-point.

Chargers vs. Chiefs odds

The Chiefs opened as 6-point favorites, and the spread has dropped to 5.5 at all the best sports betting sites, with 52% of wagers backing the Chiefs. We don’t expect much more movement; a spread of 5.5 doesn’t offer any opportunity for key numbers, so whichever side you’re on, there isn’t much benefit to waiting.

The total opened at 47.5, and it has either stayed there or gone up to 48 on sites where you can find the best sportsbook promos. With more than 70% of wagers backing the Over in early action, we think this number could get as high as 49 before kickoff. If the number barely moves, but the support for the Over remains the same, that's a sign the oddsmakers expect this game to be lower-scoring than the public.