Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction 05-19-2023 NHL Picks

The Dallas Stars and the Vegas Golden Knights meet in NHL action in game one of the Western Conference finals from the T-Mobile Arena on Friday. Let’s dive into the odds, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Vegas is listed as a -125 home favorite while Dallas is a +105 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 5.5 goals.

Matchup History

Dallas’ 2-1 shootout win over Vegas on April 8, 2023, made it four straight wins for the Stars in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

Dallas is 13-5 in their last 18 road games and 14-5 in their last 19 games overall while the over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games overall. Vegas is 16-5 in their last 21 games overall and 24-9 in their last 33 games overall while the under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 conference finals games.

Pick

I get the case to be made for either side here, but I’m rolling with the under. This just has the makings of a first to 3 wins kind of game and all three meetings between the two in the regular season went under the number and two needed OT as well. Maybe not 4 overtimes like Carolina and Florida, but I think this one could be 3-2 as well. Give me the under.