Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Preview, and Odds
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A pair of Western Conference teams at opposite ends of the standings take the floor in search of a victory as they do battle in the Lone Star State. The Denver Nuggets are on the road as they make the trip to face the San Antonio Spurs on Friday night. Denver downed Miami 100-88 on the road in their previous contest Wednesday night, covering the line as a 3.5-point favorite. San Antonio fell 103-101 at home to Houston in their previous contest Tuesday night in the second game of a back-to-back, though they did cover the line as a three-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series, the Spurs own a 122-78 advantage but the Nuggets claimed a 132-120 home win in the first meeting this season on November 26, 2023.
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Denver Nuggets Look to Maintain Narrow Northwest Division Edge
Denver won their fourth straight and their 10 in the last 11 games as they took down Miami in their previous contest on the road Wednesday night. The Nuggets entered Thursday 46-20 on the season and stood first in the Northwest Division, half a game in front of the Thunder for the top spot. They were first in the Western Conference standings, half a game ahead of Oklahoma City for the top spot and 7.5 games ahead of the Suns to remain in a guaranteed playoff spot. Against Miami, Denver used a 14-2 run in the first quarter to break a 9-9 tie. The Nuggets led by seven after the opening quarter and by six at the half. Denver saw their lead trimmed to one after three quarters before outscoring Miami 28-17 in the final quarter to earn the win. The Nuggets shot 48.8% from the field, including 11 of 33 from three-point range, and held Miami to 42.5% shooting in the game. Michael Porter Jr. led Denver with 25 points and seven rebounds in the win.
Fellas got it done ☑️
MPJ: 25 PTS / 7 REB / 5-3PM
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) March 14, 2024
AG: 16 PTS / 8 REB / 4 AST
Mal: 14 PTS / 2 REB / 5 AST
Jok: 12 PTS / 14 REB / 6 AST pic.twitter.com/8d3UceWy9O
On the year, Denver is 15 in the league in scoring offense with an average of 114.8 points per game this season. The Nuggets are 9 in rebounding by collecting 44.2 boards per contest while they are 4 by dishing out an average of 29.2 assists a night. Denver stands 7in scoring defense as they give up an average of 110.3 points a night. Nikola Jokic is leading the team in scoring with 26 points, 12.3 rebounds and 9.2 assists a night this season. Jamal Murray (21 points, 6.6 assists), Aaron Gordon (13.9 points, 6.4 rebounds), Michael Porter Jr. (16.7 points, seven rebounds) and Christian Braun each are solid scoring options. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (10.1 points), Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson (10 points, 3.7 assists), Zeke Nnaji and Julian Strawther are among the other players that coach Michael Malone calls on in the rotation. The Nuggets are 4 in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 49.5% from the floor. Denver is 27 as they connect on 11.5 three-pointers a night while the team is 14 as they knock down 36.9% of their attempts from beyond the arc.
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San Antonio Spurs Mired in Western Conference Basement
San Antonio lost their second straight and fourth in the last five games as Houston beat them at home in their second game of a back-to-back set Tuesday night. The Spurs entered Thursday 14-52 on the season, leaving them last in the Southwest Division, 25.5 games behind the Pelicans for the top spot. They have officially been eliminated from playoff contention. Against Houston, San Antonio led by eight early on and by six after the opening quarter. The Spurs were up three at the half, trailed by five after three quarters and led by three with 9:17 to play before giving up a 17-5 run that left them down nine with 2:46 to go. San Antonio rallied within one but couldn’t complete the comeback. The Spurs shot 47.6% from the field, including 11 of 36 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 42-36 in the loss. Tyus Jones led San Antonio with 24 points and five assists in the loss.
— San Antonio Spurs (@spurs) March 13, 2024
For the year, the Spurs are 22 in the league in scoring offense as they average 112.3 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 18 in rebounding by grabbing 43.5 boards a night while they are second in the league in assists by handing out 29.8 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 25 in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 119.9 points per game. Rookie Victor Wembanyama leads the team with 20.7 points plus 10.3 rebounds and 3.4 blocks this season. Keldon Johnson is third on the team with 16 points and 5.5 rebounds per game this season. Devin Vassell (19.2 points), Zach Collins (11.3 points, 5.3 rebounds) and Jeremy Sochan (11.6 points, 6.2 boards, 3.4 assists) are solid secondary scoring options. Tre Jones, Cedi Osman, Charles Bassey and Blake Wesley are other rotation pieces for coach Gregg Popovich. San Antonio is 24 in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.3% from the floor on the year. The Spurs are 15 in threes per game as they connect on 12.6 triples a night while they are 27 in three-point percentage by shooting 35.1% from beyond the arc.
Bassey (knee) is done for the year. Osman (ankle) missed the last three games while Johnson (illness) missed Tuesday’s contest. Both players are questionable here.
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Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
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We’re looking at teams at opposite ends of the Western Conference standings in this game, which will be played in Austin, the home of the G League Spurs. Denver has been rolling with four straight wins and 10 victories in their last 11 games, while San Antonio has been eliminated from playoff contention and has little to play for but ping-pong balls plus pride. The Nuggets are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now and look to extend their edge in the Northwest Division race. Denver is better on the road (19-14) than San Antonio is at home (7-23) this season and they should have little problem dispatching a young team with nothing going for them here. Take the Nuggets and give the points as they roll to a fifth straight win.
Prediction: Denver Nuggets -10.5
Full-Game Total Pick
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Denver has stayed under the total in 40 of their 66 games, with one push, on the season entering Thursday night’s action. The Nuggets are 6th in the league in turnovers as they commit an average of 12.6 possessions a game this season. Denver is a slow-paced team as they are 27th in the league in terms of tempo this season with 96.7 possessions a night. San Antonio entered Thursday’s action having gone over the number in 31 of their 66 games, with three pushes, this season. The Spurs are 25th in the league in turnovers as they commit an average of 14.9 per contest. San Antonio stands third in the league in tempo as they average 101.3 possessions per game on the year. In the first meeting this season, the teams combined for 252 points:: we likely don’t get to that plateau here but they still get over the number.
Prediction: Over 221
Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO. If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career. Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.
