Nationals at Pirates Picks, Odds, & Betting Lines
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WAS @ PIT
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
WAS @ PIT
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
50%
PUBLIC
50%
30%
PUBLIC
70%
Over / UnderUNDER 8.5 -115
17-7 in Last 24 PIT Picks
10-3 in Last 13 PIT O/U Picks
Kenny's Analysis:
Both lineups are well below average with several young player from the minors. Both pitchers excell in this split with Mitch Keller pitching far bettter at home than he has on the road. Josiah Gray has been far better on the road then in his home games. I like both guys stuff and they should be able to keep two weak lineups in check.
Pick Made:2:44 pm UTC
Over / UnderUNDER 8.5 -115
240-158-2 in Last 400 MLB Picks
Matt's Analysis:
Three's Company! And I don't mean the envy I felt as a kid watching Jack Tripper get to live with Chrissy and to a MUCH less extent Janet. Jack was the man! And, yes, I own a Regal Beagle T-shirt. No I mean that I've hit three straight MLB totals for the first time since I don't even know when. I was going to play Bucs ML here but their lineup leaves a lot to be desired behind ace Mitch Keller. He has been excellent at home and should keep that Nats lineup (which does look better than PIT's today so I thought about +1.5) mostly in check. Washington's Josiah Gray has been vastly better away.
Pick Made:2:35 pm UTC
Money LinePittsburgh -160
77-38 in Last 115 MLB ML Picks
48-27 in Last 75 MLB Picks
Mike's Analysis:
Mitch Keller was crushed by the Braves in his last start, giving up eight runs over five innings in Atlanta. The Braves have arguably the best lineup in baseball, so it’s no surprise that Keller was hit hard. He has also struggled on the road, where he has a 5.15 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. At home, he has been much better with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Starting for the Nationals will be Josiah Gray, who will be making his first start in 11 days after having his last turn in the rotation skipped. Over his previous six starts, he had an 8.49 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. Give me the home team to win.
Pick Made:1:13 pm UTC
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
When Line was +126 to +156
MONEY LINE
When Line was -181 to -151
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
when Josiah Gray starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Mitch Keller starts
The Simulation uses parameters such as each team's statistics, expected lineups and defense-adjusted performance metrics to simulate every game 10,000 times and generate projections for the matchup. Those projections are then compared to the betting lines to create pick grades based on confidence, with "A" picks representing the biggest edge.
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