Genesis Scottish Open Predictions, Picks and Odds July 13-16

Wager Talk
 
Genesis Scottish Open Predictions, Picks and Odds July 13-16

WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the Genesis Scottish Open teeing off from The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the Genesis Scottish Open starting July 13!

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Genesis Scottish Open Odds Board

Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuelDraftKings and others)

The Course & Field – The Renaissance Club (North Berwick, Scotland)

The TOUR begins the shift to the home stretch as the best players in the world hop across the Atlantic to tee it up at this week’s Scottish Open in advance of the final major of the year, The Open Championship, next week.

The Scottish Open is now in its second season being co-sanctioned by both the PGA TOUR and the DP World Tour so while this is the 5th edition of the tournament, this is only the second season with a field nearly as deep as the major it precedes.

The TOUR also hosts the Barbasol Championship this week back in the States, so this field is small, with only 82 participants set to tee it up on Thursday morning. But five of the Top-6 players in the world are in the field, sans Jon Rahm, and nine of the Top-11 with the other exception being LIV Golf’s Cam Smith.

The course is a par 70 that plays over 7,200 yards. It is comprised of three par 5s, five par 3s and ten par 4s. The winning score will be dictated by the weather, the natural defense of any links course.

Last year Xander Schauffele won at 7-under while the tournament has also seen winnings scored of 18-under and 20-under. This week expects to play much like last year though, with steady winds throughout the four days and gusts exceeding 30 mph by Sunday.

Genesis Scottish Open Predictions

With winds expected to be a big factor this week, that screams ball-strikers and you can bet on the best of the field rising to the top by Sunday.

Genesis Scottish Open Outright Winner

Wyndham Clark +4500 (FanDuel)

I honestly didn’t think we would see a number like this available on Clark so soon after his US Open win. It was clear as day that Clark’s first PGA TOUR win was coming, but I certainly didn’t expect it to be at a designated event when he won the Wells Fargo Championship in May.

Then to follow that up with a major win only cements his status as one of the elite players in the world.

The slap in the face here is that oddsmakers have put up prices on guys like Tyrrell Hatton +2200, Tommy Fleetwood +2200, even Xander Schauffele +1400. These guys haven’t won in a year (or longer) and don’t have major championships on their resume. Makes no sense to me.

Clark had gained strokes on approach in 11 straight events until dropping strokes at the US Open which he made up for it off the tee, around the green and putting, however, and then again at the Travelers, which was to be expected in a letdown spot. Additionally, he has gained strokes putting in ten of the last 11 events as well.

Finally, Clark did play in this event last year and played well, finishing T16. He is a much better golfer now and should improve upon that this week.

Genesis Scottish Open Leaderboard Finish

Tyrrell Hatton Top-10 +260 | Top-20 +125 (Bet365)

Hatton is playing as consistently as anyone with just one missed cut over the last year, a run of 27 events worldwide. Over that span, Hatton has 16 Top-20 finishes including 11 in the Top-10.

Over just his last seven starts, his worst finish was a T27 which came at the US Open, breaking a run of six straight Top-20 finishes.

This season, he ranks:8th SG Tee to Green5th SG Putting3rd Total SG