Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Memphis is only a 1-point favorite against Golden State when the Grizzlies (42-27) and the Warriors (36-35) meet on March 18, 2023 in a game projected to be a close one. A 235-point over/under has been set for the game.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds

  • Grizzlies odds to win: -113
  • Warriors odds to win: -107
  • Spread: Grizzlies (-1)
  • Total: 235

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
  • TV: NBA TV, BSSE, and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Grizzlies vs. Warriors?

Grizzlies and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Grizzlies are 27-23-3 against the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season.

In games this season in which they were an underdog by 1 point or more, the Warriors have a 10-14 record against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 0.9 fewer points per game (234.1) than this matchup’s total of 235 points.

Memphis and Golden State have seen its opponents average a combined five fewer points per game than the over/under of 235 set for this matchup.

The Grizzlies’ average point total in outings this season is 227.9, 7.1 points fewer than the total in this game.

The average total in Golden State’s games this year is 1.2 more points than the point total of 235 for this outing.

Memphis’ ATS record is 32-34-3 this season.

The Warriors have gone 33-37-1 ATS this season.

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies are outscoring opponents by 3.7 points per game with a +259 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.8 points per game (11th in the NBA) and allow 112.1 per contest (fifth in the league).

The Grizzlies win the rebound battle by 2.4 boards on average. They record 47.1 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the league, while their opponents grab 44.7 per outing.

Memphis knocks down 1.3 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 11.6 (18th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.9.

The Grizzlies rank 21st in the NBA with 111 points scored per 100 possessions, and first in the league defensively with 107.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

So far in the 2022-23 campaign, the Grizzlies are scoring 5.3 more points per home game on average than on the road (118.6 at home, 113.3 on the road), but are allowing 8.1 fewer points per home game compared to road games (107.8 at home, 115.9 on the road).

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors score 118.3 points per game (second in NBA) and give up 117.9 (25th in league) for a +29 scoring differential overall.

Golden State is ninth in the NBA at 44.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 43.8 its opponents average.

The Warriors connect on 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.6 more than their opponents. They are shooting 38.4% from deep (third-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 36.5%.

The Warriors record 112.5 points per 100 possessions (13th in league), while allowing 111.8 points per 100 possessions (15th in NBA).

At home Golden State is putting up 119.6 points per game, 2.7 more than it is averaging on the road (116.9).

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Grizzlies this season is Desmond Bane (among active players), who averages 21.1 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game.

Jaren Jackson Jr. adds 17.2 points, 0.8 assists and 6.6 rebounds per matchup. Tyus Jones puts up 10.3 points, 4.8 assists and 2.4 rebounds per game.

The Grizzlies get 2.8 three-pointers per game out of Bane.

Jones picks pockets to the tune of one steal per game, and Jackson compiles 3.1 rejections per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Jordan Poole scores 20.4 points per game. He also adds 2.8 rebounds per outing and 4.6 assists per contest.

This season, Kevon Looney has a statline that includes 7.1 points, 2.5 assists and 9.2 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson hits 4.3 threes per game.

The Warriors’ defensive efforts get a lift from Donte DiVincenzo (1.3 steals per game) and Draymond Green (0.8 blocks per game).

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 1)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (235)

  • Prediction:
    Grizzlies 119 – Warriors 113