Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Dallas Mavericks (13-8) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (6-15) in a matchup of Southwest Division teams at FedExForum, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on Monday, December 11, 2023. The Mavericks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season. The over/under is set at 228.5 in the matchup.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Odds

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Mavericks and Grizzlies Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, the Mavericks are 7-5 against the spread.

In games they have played as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year, the Grizzlies are 5-5 against the spread.

The Mavericks and the Grizzlies combine to average 2.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 228.5 set for this game.

Dallas and Memphis have seen its opponents average a combined 0.3 more points per game than the over/under of 228.5 set in this game.

The average over/under the Mavericks have had in their games this season is 8.1 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average total for Memphis’ games this season is 10.1 fewer points than the point total of 228.5 in this outing.

So far this season, Dallas has put together an 11-10-0 record against the spread.

So far this season, the Grizzlies have compiled a 9-12-0 record against the spread.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks’ +67 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 119.9 points per game (fifth in the NBA) while allowing 116.7 per outing (21st in the league).

The Mavericks rank 23rd in the NBA at 42.6 rebounds per game. That’s 4.1 fewer than the 46.7 their opponents average.

Dallas hits 16.0 three-pointers per game (first in the league) while shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc (ninth-best in the NBA). It is making 3.1 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 12.9 per game while shooting 36.3%.

The Mavericks score 120.0 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the league), while allowing 116.8 points per 100 possessions (21st in the NBA).

So far in 2023-24, the Mavericks’ offense has been better at home, where they average 121.8 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 118.2 per game. Defensively, they have been slightly worse when playing at home, where they surrender 117.1 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to average 116.4 per game.

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies are being outscored by 5.9 points per game, with a -124 scoring differential overall. They put up 106.2 points per game (29th in NBA), and allow 112.1 per contest (11th in league).

Memphis pulls down 42.0 rebounds per game (25th in league) while conceding 45.1 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 3.1 boards per game.

The Grizzlies hit 1.7 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 12.8 (12th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 14.5.

The Grizzlies score 107.7 points per 100 possessions (29th in league), while giving up 113.7 points per 100 possessions (ninth in NBA).

Memphis is putting up fewer points at home (103.5 per game) than away (108.7).

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Luka Doncic accumulates 31.9 points and 8.4 rebounds and 8.7 assists per game.

Doncic leads active Mavericks in three-point shooting, making an average of 3.9 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Doncic averages 1.3 steals per game, while Dereck Lively II has 1.6 blocks per contest.

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

The Grizzlies go-to guy, Desmond Bane, leads active Grizzlies players in both scoring (24.6 points per game) and assists (5.1 assists per game).

Jaren Jackson Jr.’s per-game averages this season are 19.9 points, 1.8 assists and 5.9 rebounds.

Bane averages 3.3 made threes per game.

Bane’s 1.3 steals and Jackson’s 1.8 blocks per game are important to the Grizzlies’ defensive performance.

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