Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Desmond Bane and the Memphis Grizzlies (43-27) will look to fend off Kyrie Irving’s Dallas Mavericks (36-35) on March 20, 2023. The Grizzlies are a 5-point favorite. A 227-point total has been set for the game.

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Odds

  • Grizzlies odds to win: -203
  • Mavericks odds to win: +169
  • Spread: Grizzlies (-5)
  • Total: 227

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • When: Monday, March 20, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
  • TV: NBA TV, BSSE, and BSSW

Who Will Win Grizzlies vs. Mavericks?

Grizzlies and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Grizzlies have a 16-15-3 record against the spread in games they were favored by 5 points or more this season.

When they have played as at least 5-point underdogs this year, the Mavericks are 5-6 against the spread.

The Grizzlies and the Mavericks combine to average 2.9 more points per game than the total of 227 set for this game.

Memphis and Dallas have seen its opponents average a combined 1.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 227 set for this matchup.

The Grizzlies’ average total in outings this season has been 228.2, 1.2 points higher than the total in this particular game.

The average point total for Dallas this season is 0.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Memphis has a 33-34-3 record against the spread this season.

So far this season, the Mavericks have compiled a 26-42-3 record against the spread.

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies’ +273 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 116.1 points per game (10th in the NBA) while giving up 112.2 per contest (sixth in the league).

The Grizzlies win the rebound battle by 2.3 boards on average. They collect 46.9 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the league, while their opponents grab 44.6 per outing.

Memphis connects on 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th in the league) at a 34.7% rate (23rd in the NBA), compared to the 12.9 per contest its opponents make while shooting 35.4% from deep.

The Grizzlies’ 111.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 20th in the NBA, and the 107.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank first in the league.

So far in the 2022-23 season, the Grizzlies are scoring 5.7 more points per home game on average than on the road (119.0 at home, 113.3 on the road), but are giving up 7.7 fewer points per home game compared to road games (108.2 at home, 115.9 on the road).

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks have a +40 scoring differential, putting up 113.8 points per game (17th in league) and giving up 113.3 (14th in NBA).

Dallas loses the rebound battle by an average of 5.2 boards. It records 38.8 rebounds per game (30th in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.0.

The Mavericks hit 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 4.1 more than their opponents. They are shooting 37.1% from deep (ninth-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 35.1%.

The Mavericks put up 114.2 points per 100 possessions (seventh in league), while conceding 113.4 points per 100 possessions (19th in NBA).

Dallas averages 115.1 points per game at home, and 112.5 away.

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

The Grizzlies active scoring leader is Bane, who averages 21.2 per contest to go with 5.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists.

Jaren Jackson Jr. adds 17.5 points, 0.9 assists and 6.6 rebounds per matchup. Tyus Jones puts up 10.3 points, 4.9 assists and 2.4 rebounds per game.

Bane makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Grizzlies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.

Jones averages 1.0 steal per game, while Jackson has 3.1 blocks per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Irving takes the top spot on the Mavericks scoring and assist lists among active players, putting up 27.4 points and 5.6 assists per game.

This season, Christian Wood has a statline of 17.2 points, 1.7 assists and 7.7 rebounds per game.

Tim Hardaway Jr. hits 3.0 treys per game.

The Mavericks’ defensive effort gets a lift from Irving (1.1 steals per game) and Wood (1.1 blocks per game).

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (227)

  • Prediction:
    Grizzlies 117 – Mavericks 110