How To Bet MLB AL East Matchup (Thursday, September 29)

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How To Bet MLB AL East Matchup (Thursday, September 29)

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds

The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox are wrapping up a four game series on Thursday afternoon. After the absolute offensive explosions on Monday and Tuesday, things settled down Wednesday.

The Orioles look to keep their razor thin playoff hopes alive as they look to salvage a series split in Boston.

Nathan Eovaldi will return from the Injured List on Thursday afternoon as he looks to snuff out the Orioles’ playoff hopes. Mike Baumann will be on the mound looking to keep the Orioles alive in the wild card race.

Baltimore Orioles: Does Baltimore Have Enough Pitching Left?

The Orioles’ offense has done its best to try to keep the team afloat down the home stretch. Over the past two weeks, the Orioles have had the best team wRC+ against RHP on the road and they look to stay hot against Nathan Eovaldi.

Mike Baumann has not racked up a ton of innings, let alone starts, for the Orioles. However, in that small sample he has been pretty shaky on the road. He has a 5.40 road ERA and a 4.32 FIP in just over six road innings.

He’s also backed by an Orioles’ bullpen that has fallen off in the second half. After being one of the better units in the league for the majority of the season, they have become a below average bunch in the final months of the season.

Boston Red Sox: Can Red Sox Ruin O’s Postseason Hopes?

The Red Sox look to play the role of spoiler and their offense has been on a roll. Boston owns the eighth best team wRC+ at home against RHP over the past two weeks and it has a prime match up against Mike Baumann.

The main concern is which Nathan Eovaldi will show up at Fenway on Thursday afternoon as he’s been inconsistent this season.

One thing is for sure, his bullpen will not be there to back him up. The Red Sox’s ‘pen has struggled mightily over the past couple of weeks and they are in the bottom five in FIP over that stretch.

Orioles-Red Sox Pick

The Orioles have a lot on the line heading into Thursday’s matchup, but they may not have the pitching to get them into the postseason. However, the Red Sox have an equally shaky pitching situation as their bullpen has been overworked this season and it’s starting to show.

The over is set at 9 runs and considering how hot both offenses are and how bad the pitching situations look, the over should be the play here. Some books still have it available at -110. If you can find it there, that should be the move, but it could still be played to -120 or better.