Jaguars vs. Texans prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 3 best bets from proven model
The Houston Texans (0-2) hit the road to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) in a NFL Week 3 battle between AFC South teams looking to bounce back from losses. In Week 2, the Texans lost to the Indianapolis Colts 31-20. The Jaguars are aiming to get back on track after falling 17-9 to the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. The Texans lead the all-time series 28-14.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at EverBank Stadium. Jacksonville is favored by 8 points in the latest Texans vs. Jaguars odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 44. Before making any Jaguars vs. Texans picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 164-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 18-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Texans vs. Jaguars and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 3 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Jags vs. Texans:
- Texans vs. Jaguars spread: Jaguars -8
- Texans vs. Jaguars over/under: 44 points
- Texans vs. Jaguars money line: Jaguars -377, Texans +300
- Texans vs. Jaguars picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Texans vs. Jaguars live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Jaguars can cover
The Jaguars are much further along in their roster development than the Texans. Trevor Lawrence is in his third NFL season and appears to be on the verge of establishing himself as a top-10 NFL quarterback. In two games this season, the former Clemson standout has completed 63% of his passes for 457 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception.
The Jaguars are also strong on the defensive side of the ball. Last week, Jacksonville held reigning NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to only 17 points, and are allowing just 83 rushing yards per game thus far. The Texans have had issues on the offensive side of the ball, which could give the Jags a decided advantage. See which team to pick here.
Why the Texans can cover
Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud was impressive in Houston's Week 2 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. While a lot of his production came when the game had already been decided, there is still no denying that he showed signs of being a legitimate starting NFL quarterback. Stroud finished the game completing 30 of 47 pass attempts for 384 yards and two TDs.
Houston could get a major boost on its offensive line if All-Pro Laremy Tunsil is able to play. The veteran left tackle missed last week's game with a knee injury, and is listed as questionable heading into Sunday. With Tunsil sidelined, Stroud has been sacked a league-high 11 times this season. See which team to pick here.
How to make Texans vs. Jaguars picks
The model has simulated Texans vs. Jaguars 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits in more than 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's Texans vs. Jaguars pick at SportsLine.
