Week 11 NFL picks, odds, 2023 best bets from advanced model: This 5-way football parlay pays out 25-1
Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers have now lost five of their last six games after suffering a 23-19 defeat to the Pittsburgh Steelers last week. The Packers will try to get back in the win column when the Los Angeles Chargers visit Lambeau Field on Sunday. According to the latest Week 11 NFL odds, Green Bay is a four-point underdog at home. The Packers are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight meetings against the Chargers, making this matchup a game many bettors will target for their Week 11 NFL bets and NFL parlay picks. Before you make any Week 11 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 11. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 11 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 11 NFL picks
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Houston Texans (-5) to cover at home against the Arizona Cardinals. Quarterback Kyler Murray (ACL) returned to the lineup last week and led the Cardinals to a 25-23 victory at home against the Falcons. The Cardinals will now travel to NRG Stadium, but they've struggled mightily on the road. In fact, Arizona has lost its last eight road games.
Meanwhile, Houston has won three of its last four games overall and three straight at home. Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has been on fire in recent weeks, throwing for 826 yards and six touchdowns in his last two games. SportsLine's model is projecting Stroud will throw for more than 270 yards and two touchdowns against Arizona, a big reason why the Texans cover the spread in nearly 60% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
How to make Week 11 NFL parlays
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including a shocking prediction for Monday Night Football between the Chiefs and Eagles. You can only see the model's NFL Week 11 best bets and parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model's top Week 11 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 11 NFL best bets from a model on a 174-125 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
