Justin Tafa vs Austen Lane Betting Analysis and Predictios

One of the more interesting upcoming UFC fights this weekend in Sydney has to be this rematch between exciting heavyweight prospects Justin Tafa and Austen Lane. Their previous meeting was cut very short. And a brutal eye poke forced Tafa not to be able to go on with the fight.

Read more for the Tafa vs Lane betting analysis and prediction ahead of making your picks on this weekend’s UFC betting slate.

Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Information

Justin Tafa vs Austen Lane

Location of the game: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.

Date and Time: Saturday, September 09. 10:00 PM ET.

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Prior to the no-contest, Tafa was coming off an impressive first-round KO win over Parker Porter.

Lane was also coming off a first-round KO win before the no-contest against Tafa in his last bout.

Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Betting Analysis

Justin Tafa

Tafa is an Australian fighter with a professional MMA record of 6-3 with 6 KOs under his belt at the age of 29. Training out of the NTG fight gym in Sydney.  This is a homecoming, and he will have a home-field advantage in front of a rowdy Aussie crowd.

“Bad Man” is coming into this weekend with a 3-3 (1) record in the UFC and averages over five significant strikes landed AND absorbed inside the octagon. At the heavyweight division, it’s not a very sustainable way of fighting if you are going to absorb more significant strikes than you land. Tafa also currently has a 100% takedown defense in the UFC, using his short and stocky 6’0” frame as an advantage.

Austen Lane

Lane is a big, 6’6” heavyweight with an 80” reach, making his second appearance under UFC contract. He has a professional MMA record of 12-3 with 11 KOs and one submission–and all three of his losses have been finishes as well, making him have a 100% finish rate in his career.

Including two DWCS appearances, Lane averages 4.33 significant strikes landed per minute. While only absorbing 1.67 significant strikes in that minute. At the age of 35, Lane is an unusual prospect in the UFC. But Dana White has a lot of praise for him, and he has earned this opportunity.

Updates

No injuries have been reported to the UFC.

Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Betting Preview

After looking at the Tafa vs Lane betting analysis, this fight seems pretty neck and neck on paper. Both fighters are talented and very dangerous, but let’s take a look at what the oddsmakers have the betting lines at.

The UFC fights odds have Tafa as the -200 betting favorite over the +170 Austen Lane, who is traveling across the globe into enemy territory. An interesting line for this bout is the under-1.5-round total being heavily favored at -225. That means the oddsmakers believe this fight is going to be over within seven minutes.

Inside the Octagon

From a technical perspective of this matchup, it seems like Lane might be the more technically sound fighter inside the octagon. But it seems like that only because of how relaxed Tafa is in the middle of chaos.

Tafa is a very skilled boxer with great timing and a lot of hand speed for the heavyweight division. His skill, speed, timing, and eyes allow him to be relaxed and confident inside the octagon. Which actually leads to better performances.

The key factor of this fight is going to be how the real estate of the octagon is being controlled. As the longer fighter, Lane will need to use his front kicks and jab to keep Tafa from being able to enter the boxing range to land heavy shots. If Tafa is able to get in and out of boxing range without much pushback, it’s going to be a fun night for the Aussie.

Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Betting Prediction

At this level, all UFC picks are difficult to make. This is a perfect example because it’s the only sport that can have a -200 betting favorite. But the underdog has closer to a 50/50 shot to land one punch and be the winner.

Heavyweight MMA is an entirely different sport than MMA in other divisions. The size and power of these athletes make every risk that is being made inside the octagon much more dangerous.

• After breaking down the Tafa vs Lane betting analysis and previewing the betting lines. The official prediction is that Tafa will win via TKO/KO.

You can get that method of victory prop bet at around -135 right now at major sportsbooks.

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