LFA 164: Mazo vs Lavado Betting Analysis and Prediction

LFA 164 is set to take place on the MMA fight schedule this week from El Paso, Texas. The main event will be a women’s flyweight title fight between former LFA champion Sabina Mazo and newcomer Sandra Lavado. 

Read more for the Mazo vs Lavado betting analysis and prediction ahead of making your wagers this week.

Sabina Mazo vs Sandra Lavado

Location: Southwest University Park, El Paso, Texas, United States

Date and Time: August 04, 2023. 11 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass

Mazo is coming off a submission loss to Miranda Maverick in March of 2022, resulting in getting cut from the UFC.

Lavadois fresh off a unanimous decision win over Gabriela Campo at FFC 60 in May.

Mazo is a 26-year-old martial artist from Colombia with a professional record of 9-4 with three finishes. She fought in the UFC from 2019-2022 and went 3-4 in the promotion. She is still a young woman that can earn herself another chance at the UFC if she keeps winning in the LFA. 

Mazo actually had some impressive striking numbers in the UFC. Averaging 6.10 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 4.35 in that minute. Mazo also mixes up takedowns but has struggled with defending submissions at a high level–which can for sure get better over time on the mat.

Lavado is Peru’s No.1 ranked women’s flyweight fighter and is coming to make her debut in LFA. She has a professional record of 12-4 with four submissions. But she has lost both of her opportunities to earn a big contract with UFC and PFL. 

No injuries have been reported to LFA.

After the brief Mazo vs Lavado betting analysis, let’s take a look at the available MMA betting odds for this flyweight bout.

The oddsmakers have Mazo as the big -365 betting favorite over the Peruvian prospect, who is coming in at +290. There are no other available lines, but as the week progresses, keep your eyes on sportsbooks to see if any prop bets get released.

Other than the betting lines, the styles of fighting are interesting in this one as well. Mazo is the bigger fighter. And will be able to use that to her advantage if she implements the proper game plan. Lavado is very tough and likes to constantly march forward and keep the pressure on her opponents.

A big factor in this fight will be the straight punches and knees up the middle for Mazo. Lavado’s best weapon will be to keep a crazy pace and bring the dog fight to Mazo to wear her down over all five rounds.

Making MMA betting picks is very difficult to do at the highest level, but this matchup shows a clear winner. After breaking down the Mazo vs Lavado betting analysis and we have a prediction.

• Mazo is going to get her hand raised on Friday night and get back her LFA flyweight belt, starting her journey back to the UFC.

She is clearly the better fighter if you watch the tape, and she just has more ways to win.

At this level, the woman that is more athletically gifted will have a massive advantage over the less athletic, smaller fighter.

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