Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Seattle Mariners (48-48) and Toronto Blue Jays (54-43) square off on Friday at 10:10 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at T-Mobile Park.

The Mariners are favored (-124 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Blue Jays (+105). The total for this game is 8.

The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of July 21, 2023 at 9:15 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Mariners have won 35 out of the 65 games, or 53.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Seattle is 29-24 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
• The Mariners have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 48 of 96 chances this season.
• The Mariners have an ATS record of 43-53-0 in 96 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have come away with 13 wins in the 26 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Toronto has a win-loss record of 7-8 when favored by +105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of its 97 opportunities.
• In 97 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 44-53-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryce Miller

• Miller and his team are 6-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed five innings without allowing a run on five hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
• In 12 starts, Miller has pitched through or past the fifth inning eight times. He has a season average of 5.3 frames per outing.
• He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 12 chances this season.
• Miller’s team has a record of 7-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Miller’s team has won seven of his 12 starts this season.
• In games Miller has started this season, the teams are 5-7-0 at hitting the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi

• Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 20th of the season. He is 7-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 98 2/3 innings pitched.
• The lefty’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
• Kikuchi heads into this game with 12 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• He has had three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
• The Blue Jays have a 4-2 record in Kikuchi’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Kikuchi’s team has put together a 13-6 record in his 19 starts.
• Kikuchi has had 19 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those games hit the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Mariners Hitting Trends

• The Mariners have a 23-9 record this season in games when they smash two or more homers.
• Seattle is 12-1 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
• The club has totaled at least eight hits 56 times this season, and has a 36-20 record in those games.
• Seattle is 43-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Mariners have drawn at least five walks in 35 games this season, and are 24-11 in those contests.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

• They are 21-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-4.
• In 75 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-26.
• Toronto has a 39-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-7

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-124)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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