Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays (54-44) visit the Seattle Mariners (49-48) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Blue Jays are favored (-142 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Mariners (+119). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of July 22, 2023 at 7:15 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Blue Jays vs Mariners Betting Lines

Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have won 41, or 57.7%, of the 71 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Toronto has entered 38 games this season favored by -142 or more and is 22-16 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 58.7%.
• Games involving Toronto has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 42 of 98 chances this season.
• The Blue Jays are 44-54-0 against the spread in their 98 chances this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Mariners Betting Insights

• The Mariners have been underdogs in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (41.9%) in those contests.
• Seattle has a mark of 1-7 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Seattle has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 48 of 97 chances this season.
• In 97 games with a line this season, the Mariners have a mark of 44-53-0 against the spread.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman

• When Gausman starts, his team is 6-13-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, July 8, when he threw six innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• Gausman has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
• He has six appearances with no earned runs allowed in 19 chances this season.
• Gausman’s team is 10-8 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• In games Gausman has started, his team is 10-9.
• In Gausman’s 19 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert

• The Mariners will send Gilbert (8-5) to make his 20th start of the season. He is 8-5 with a 3.65 ERA and 111 strikeouts through 113 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Minnesota Twins, when he tossed five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• Gilbert is aiming for his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 innings per start.
• He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
• The Mariners won each of Gilbert’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Gilbert’s team has a 10-9 record in his 19 starts.
• Gilbert has started 19 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in nine of them.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

• The Blue Jays have a 21-10 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
• Toronto has gone 14-4 in its 18 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The club is 49-26 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
• Toronto has a 39-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 24 games this season, and are 16-8 in those contests.

Mariners Hitting Trends

• They are 23-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• Seattle has gone 12-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have won 37 of the 57 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• Seattle has won 43 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• They have won 25 of their 36 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (+119)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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