Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

Dylan Moore leads the Seattle Mariners (52-50) into a contest against the Arizona Diamondbacks (55-48) after homering twice in an 8-7 victory over the Twins. It starts at 9:40 PM ET on Friday.

The Diamondbacks (+115 underdog on the moneyline to win) host the Mariners (-135). The total for the game is 9 total runs.

The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 27, 2023 at 11:18 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Mariners have been favored 67 times and won 36, or 53.7%, of those games.
• Seattle has entered 45 games this season favored by -135 or more and is 25-20 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
• Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 51 of its 102 chances.
• In 102 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 47-55-0 ATS.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 25, or 47.2%, of the 53 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a mark of 15-18 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Arizona has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 103 chances this season.
• The Diamondbacks have an against the spread mark of 57-46-0 in 103 games with a line this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert

• When Gilbert starts, his team is 9-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up five earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
• Gilbert has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 20 chances this season.
• Gilbert’s team has a record of 6-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Gilbert’s team has won 11 of his 20 starts.
• Games started by Gilbert have a 10-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Tommy Henry

• Henry gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his 16th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 4.01 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 83 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Friday, the lefty threw 4 1/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• Henry heads into this matchup with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
• He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
• The Diamondbacks have a 4-4 record in Henry’s eight starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Henry’s team has a 10-5 record in his starts this season.
• Henry has had 15 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and seven of those outings finished over the total.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Mariners Hitting Trends

• The Mariners have hit two or more homers in 36 games this season, and are 26-10 in those outings.
• Seattle is 15-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has totaled at least eight hits in 61 games this season, and is 40-21 in those contests.
• Seattle is 46-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 37 games this season, and are 25-12 in those contests.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

• They are 25-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-7.
• They have a record of 52-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• In 67 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 51-16.
• They have won 19 of their 38 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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