Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies (32-33) and Arizona Diamondbacks (40-25) square off in the first of a four-game series on Monday at Chase Field, at 9:40 PM ET. The Phillies are coming off a series split with the Dodgers, and the Diamondbacks a series win over the Tigers.

The Phillies are favored (-116) in an expected tight game against the Diamondbacks (-102). The over/under for this game is set at 10.

The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of June 12, 2023 at 9:14 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 20 (54.1%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia is 18-15 this season when entering a game favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 53.7% chance to win.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of its 65 games with a total this season.
• In 65 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 29-36-0 ATS.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (54.5%) in those games.
• Arizona has a mark of 15-14 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 31 of its 65 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Diamondbacks have an against the spread mark of 40-25-0 in 65 games with a line this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Matt Strahm

• Strahm’s team is 3-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Friday when he threw one inning out of the bullpen against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up three earned runs while allowing two hits.
• Strahm has made three starts of five or more innings in seven chances this season, and averages 2.5 frames when he pitches.
• He has made 17 appearances and finished 10 of them without allowing an earned run.
• Strahm and his team have lost each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
• Strahm’s team has a 3-4 record in his starts this season.
• In Strahm’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Tommy Henry

• Henry (3-1 with a 4.37 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 45 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his ninth of the season.
• In his last outing on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals, the lefty tossed 4 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• Henry is trying to secure his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
• He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
• The Diamondbacks have a 2-1 record in Henry’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Henry’s team has won six of his eight starts.
• Henry has had eight starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those games.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Phillies Hitting Trends

• The Phillies have a 12-6 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
• Philadelphia has gone 12-4 in its 16 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has racked up eight or more hits in 44 games this season, and is 27-17 in those contests.
• Philadelphia has a 24-4 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Phillies have gone 15-5 over the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

• They are 21-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-4.
• They have won 39 of the 50 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• In 46 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-7.
• In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-13

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-102)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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