Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Seattle Mariners (26-24) will look for continued power from a slugger on a roll versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (25-24) on Friday at 10:10 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park. Ty France is riding a two-game homer streak.

The favored Mariners (-161 moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Pirates (+137). The total in the game is set at 7 total runs.

The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of May 26, 2023 at 7:12 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Mariners vs Pirates Betting Lines

Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Mariners have been favored 29 times and won 18, or 62.1%, of those games.
• Seattle has entered 15 games this season favored by -161 or more and is 11-4 in those contests.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
• So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of 42 games with a total.
• The Mariners are 19-23-0 ATS in their 42 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Pirates Betting Insights

• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (37.9%) in those games.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win six times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 42 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates are 21-21-0 against the spread in their 42 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

• Kirby and his team have a record of 5-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in seven innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday.
• Kirby has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
• Kirby’s team has a record of 5-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Kirby’s team is 5-4 when he starts this season.
• Out of Kirby’s eight starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller

• Keller (5-1) gets the starting nod for the Pirates in his 11th start of the season. He has a 2.44 ERA in 62 2/3 innings pitched, with 77 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the righty threw six innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• Keller will look to build upon a 10-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per outing).
• The Pirates have a 2-2 record in Keller’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Keller’s team has a 7-3 record in his 10 starts.
• Keller has had eight starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and four of those matchups hit the over.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Mariners Hitting Trends

• The Mariners are 12-4 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
• Seattle has gone 4-1 in its five games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The club has collected eight or more hits 34 times this season, and has a 21-13 record in those games.
• Seattle is 26-5 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Mariners are 17-3 over the 20 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 14 games this season and are 13-1 in those matchups.
• Pittsburgh has won each of its 11 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
• They have won 17 of the 23 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• Pittsburgh has won 16 of its 18 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-5

Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-161)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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