Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Baltimore Orioles (54-35) aim to add on to their six-game win streak when they meet the Miami Marlins (53-39) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Marlins are an underdog (+105 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Orioles (-124). The total in the game is 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of July 14, 2023 at 7:22 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Orioles vs Marlins Betting Lines

Orioles Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have been favored 42 times and won 29, or 69%, of those games.
• Baltimore has a record of 25-9 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -124 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 45 of its 89 chances.
• The Orioles are 54-35-0 ATS in their 89 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Marlins Betting Insights

• The Marlins have won in 23, or 48.9%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a mark of 15-18 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Miami’s games have gone over the total in 43 of its 92 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 45-47-0 against the spread in their 92 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer

• Kremer and his team are 12-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, July 5, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
• In 18 starts, Kremer has pitched through or past the fifth inning 15 times. He has a season average of 5.4 frames per outing.
• He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
• Kremer’s team has a record of 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Kremer’s team has a 12-6 record in his starts this season.
• In Kremer’s 18 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 11 times.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara

• Alcantara gets the start for the Marlins, his 19th of the season. He is 3-7 with a 4.80 ERA and 94 strikeouts over 114 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing eight hits.
• Alcantara will try to build on a 16-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.3 frames per appearance).
• He has made one appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
• The Marlins have a 2-6 record in Alcantara’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Alcantara’s team is 7-11 over his 18 starts.
• Alcantara has had 18 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 12 of those games hit the over.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Orioles Hitting Trends

• The Orioles have hit two or more homers in 37 games this season, and are 26-11 in those contests.
• Baltimore has put up five or more extra-base hits in 26 games this season, and has gone 23-3 in those contests.
• The club has strung together eight or more hits in 57 games this season, and is 39-18 in those contests.
• Baltimore is 41-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 25 games this season, and are 20-5 in those contests.

Marlins Hitting Trends

• They have won 12 of the 30 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Miami has won 16 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• In 75 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 44-31.
• Miami has won 36 of its 46 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-11

Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-124)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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