Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 7-31-23 MLB Picks
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Washington Nationals meet in the series opener of a three-game set from Nationals Park in MLB action on Monday. Two teams heading in different directions regarding the playoffs entering August, who takes game one? Let’s dig in and find out.
Brewers Get Swept By The Braves
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this series licking their wounds after a frustrating series loss to Atlanta, dropping all three meetings including an 8-6 loss in Sunday’s series finale. The loss would drop the Brewers down to 57-49, putting them back in the Wild Card race, tied for the final spot in the hunt with Miami and currently a half game back of the Reds in the NL Central race. Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 111 hits, 59 RBIs and a .286 opponent batting average as well as a .372 OBP while Willy Adames comes in with a team-leading 17 home runs with Yelich just one off of the pace at 16. Yelich also leads the Brewers with 24 doubles while Adames has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Brewers with 109 strikeouts this season. Corbin Burnes will get the start for the Brewers here and is 9-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The underdogs have won four of the Brewers' last five games at Nationals Park.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four night games at Nationals Park following a road loss.
- The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four Monday night games as favourites.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Monday games against opponents that held a losing record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Carlos Santana has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- Christian Yelich has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances at Nationals Park.
- William Contreras has recorded two hits in each of the Brewers' last three road games.
Nationals Drop Series Vs. Mets
The Washington Nationals are looking more and more like a team that’s just playing out the string, and their recent series against the Mets was proof of that, dropping 3 of the 4 games played against their division rival, including a 5-2 loss to the Mets in Sunday’s series finale. The loss dropped the Nationals to a record of 44-62, sitting them 24.5 games back of the Braves in the NL East and 13 games back in the NL Wild Card, only 2.5 games ahead of the Rockies for the worst record in the National League. Lane Thomas leads the Nationals across the board with 119 hits, a .285 batting average, 16 home runs and 55 RBIs. Jeimer Candelario also has 16 homers and 53 RBIs while also posting a team-high 30 doubles. Luis Garcia and CJ Abrams each have a team-high 4 triples while Joey Meneses has 55 RBIs as well this season. Jake Irvin will get the start for the Nationals and is 3-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season.
Washington Nationals Team Facts
- The Nationals have won each of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Nationals' last eight games at Nationals Park.
- The Nationals have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Nationals ranks 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (152).
- The Washington Nationals ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (750).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for hits this season (810).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.377).
Chris’ Pick
I’m going with the Brewers here. It’s easier for me to forgive the series against Atlanta when I’m looking at the Brewers, as Atlanta, despite some recent struggles, has still been one of the better teams in all of baseball for much of the season. Washington had a nice run last week off of their sweep of the Giants, but are back to looking like the Nationals that have been fade machines for the better part of the season and I look for the ending to be the same here. Give me Milwaukee.
