Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8-26-23 MLB Picks

The San Diego Padres and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action from American Family Field. This will be the second matchup in a three-game series over the weekend. On Friday in the opener, the Brewers managed a four-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

San Diego Padres 

The Padres played the Marlins in their last series and did pretty well with two wins in three games. During a 4-0 shutout win Wednesday San Diego’s Xander Bogaerts managed a two-run homer. In the Friday game the Padres gave up five runs in the third inning during a 7-3 defeat. Manny Machado and Gary Sanchez each had home runs in the loss. 

As starter for Saturdays’ matchup it’ll be Pedro Avila. This year in seven games (one start) Avila has a 1.17 ERA without a decision and 28 Ks in 23.0 innings total. Avila is 0-1 in his career with a 1.73 ERA in 11 games (three starts). 

San Diego Padres Team Facts

• The Padres have won eight of their last nine Saturday night games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday night games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Padres have led after 7 innings in six of their last nine games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last five road games against NL Central opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.396) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers 

Over on the Brewers’ side, they played a pair versus the Twins this week, winning both 7-3 and 8-7. Milwaukee got a homer and three RBI from Willy Adames in the Wednesday win. In Friday’s matchup the Brewers’ Rowdy Tellez had four RBI and Adames added two runs on the way to the victory. 

In the starter role Saturday it’ll be Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta. In 24 starts this year Peralta is 10-8 with a 3.97 ERA and 168 strikeouts over 133.2 innings. Peralta is 5-1 with a 2.38 ERA over his last seven starts.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

• The Brewers have won each of their last six games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games following a home win.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last three Saturday games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Padres.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
• The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (995).
• The San Diego Padres ranks 1st in the league for walks this season (520).
• The San Diego Padres ranks T3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (521).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’ll probably stay with the Brewers in this one. Peralta is pitching well right now. Over his last three starts, Peralta is 3-0 with just two earned runs in 18.2 innings on nine hits and five walks. As for Avila, he’s got just one earned in his last 9.1 frames. In the Friday opener of this set, Milwaukee had a couple of pretty significant innings but got a little sloppy toward the end of the game. I like the Brewers to clean it up and post another win in game two, though.