San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions
The San Diego Padres (61-69) will close out a 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers (72-57) on Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 5-1
The Padres were defeated by the Brewers 5-4 on Saturday despite SS Xander Bogaerts and OF Juan Soto hitting home runs. San Diego has won only 4 of its last 10 contests and is 7 games back of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final NL Wild-Card spot.
The win Saturday extended the Brewers winning streak to 7 games and Milwaukee has now jumped out to a 4-game lead over the Chicago Cubs for 1st place in the NL Central.
Padres at Brewers projected starters
RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Wacha (10-2, 2.63 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 96 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-2 home victory against the Miami Marlins on Monday
- Road stats: 3-0, 3.23 ERA (39 IP, 14 ER) in 7 starts
- Career vs. Brewers: 6-1, 3.99 ERA (79 IP, 35 ER) in 15 starts and 1 relief appearance.
Houser (5-4, 4.28 ERA) makes his 17th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 88 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 6-2 road win over the Texas Rangers last Sunday
- Home stats: 2-1, 4.12 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 1.86 ERA (29 IP, 6 ER) in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.
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Padres at Brewers odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
Padres at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Brewers 3
Even though the Brewers have strung together 7 consecutive wins, I’ll back the PADRES (-120) on Sunday with Wacha taking the mound. Wacha hasn’t given up more than 2 ER in a start since April 26 at the Cubs.
While the Brewers should keep this game close, go ahead and PASS on the run line in this matchup. Unless you can get Milwaukee’s spread at -160 or better, I wouldn’t advise wagering on the run line.
UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean as Wacha has been dominant and San Diego’s bats have been quiet recently. Houser has allowed 3 ER or more in 3 of his last 5 starts, but the Padres have produced 4 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games.
