Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 10-4-23 MLB Picks
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Minnesota Twins meet in game two of their AL Wild Card series from Target Field on Wednesday night.
Blue Jays On The Brink Of Elimination
The Toronto Blue Jays come into this one in danger of being eliminated after their 3-1 loss to Minnesota last time out. Kevin Kiermaier went 2 for 3 with an RBI, accounting for the lone Toronto run in the losing effort. Bo Bichette went 2 for 4 at the dish while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. had a double and Matt Chapman had a hit as Toronto cranked out just six hits as a team in the losing effort. Kevin Gausman took the loss, falling to 0-1 after allowing three runs on three hits with five strikeouts over four innings of work. Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays here and is 11-12 with a 3.65 ERA and 184 strikeouts this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts
The Blue Jays have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.The Blue Jays have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five road playoff games.The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven games as underdogs.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
Brandon Belt has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL opponents.George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.Bo Bichette has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances with the Blue Jays as road underdogs.Bo Bichette has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays' last six road games against the Twins.Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances in day games.George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
Bo Bichette ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.306) this season.
Twins Snap Playoff Losing Streak
The Minnesota Twins were finally able to snap their 18-game playoff losing streak after their win over the Blue Jays on Tuesday. Royce Lewis went 2 for 3 with a pair of home runs and all three Twins RBIs in the winning effort while Max Kepler, Carlos Correa and Michael A. Taylor each had a base hit to cap off Minnesota’s offense as the Twins had just five hits as a team in the winning effort. Pablo Lopez got the win after allowing one run on five hits with three strikeouts over 5.2 innings of work. Jhoan Duran closed out the 9th for his 1st save of the postseason. Sonny Gray will start for the Twins here and is 8-8 with a 2.79 ERA and 183 strikeouts this season.
Minnesota Twins Team Facts
The Twins have lost each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a win.The Twins have covered the run line each of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Michael A. Taylor has hit a home run in two of his last three playoff appearances.Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as favorites against AL East opponents.Max Kepler has scored at least one run in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Twins as favorites.Sonny Gray has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents.Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in day playoff games.Carlos Correa has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances in day playoff games.
Sonny Gray ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.79) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Minnesota Twins rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1654).The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1560).The Toronto Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1528).
The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
Chris’ Pick
I’m looking at the under here, as I just think this game is going to be a mirror image of game one. I think Toronto will obviously hope for a different result, but the offense was stagnant in game one and Sonny Gray’s been at his best at home and a sub-three ERA on the year is impressive. On the other side, Jose Berrios shut out his former team in his lone start against them this season, and I could easily see a pitcher’s duel here. Give me the under.
