MLB Odds: Blue Jays-Red Sox prediction, odds and pick

The Blue Jays are currently 66-55 and 8 1/2 games behind the New York Yankees for the American League East lead. The Red Sox are 60-63 and seven games back of the final wild card spot. They lost back-to-back games, including a 9-3 loss to Toronto on Tuesday.

The Blue Jays are favored to cover the spread against Boston. The Blue Jay's offense has been better since the All-Star break. Boston's starting pitchers haven't performed well this season. Boston has a second-to-last ERA in the American League. Toronto's team has more productive offense since All Star break, leading Boston in several categories. Teoscar Hernandez, Jackie Bradley, and Alejandro Kirk have combined for 13 RBI and eight runs scored in last five games.

Bello is having a terrible season, but he's Boston's top pitching prospect. The Red Sox have scored five more runs than Toronto in the month of August. Boston has slightly better batting average and on-base percentage numbers. Enrique Hernandez and Tommy Pham have been impressive recently. They have combined for 10 RBI, five extra-bases hits, and two runs scored over the past four games.

The Blue Jays and Red Sox have played each other 20 times this season. Boston has a sub-500 record at home and a 39-50 record against winning teams. The Red Sides are a -120 underdog.

The final Blue Jays-Red Sox prediction and pick is over 9.5 (-112).