MLB preview: Phillies vs. Marlins odds, prediction and picks

Philadelphia Phillies are coming back home after a disappointing road trip. They lost all five games and were outscored 50-36. Philadelphia is two games behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the wild card race. Next up for the Phillies is the Miami Marlins, who they will face in six of their next nine games.

Jesús Luzardo and Aaron Nola are going to face each other. The Marlins are on a losing season. Lu zardo is a quality pitcher, but his advanced numbers point to further positive regression. Nolas has a good record against the Marlins, while his team has had a poor record in his starts against them. The under is on the run in the past four meetings. Philadelphia is the favorite. Miami is an underdog. It's possible rain will fall. A model makes Philadelphia a -221 favorite, with Miami a +180 underdog, and the game is 2.25-to-1 to back them in this spot.

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