Marlins vs. Phillies Game 2, 10/4/23 MLB Playoff Prediction

The Spread
 
Marlins vs. Phillies Game 2, 10/4/23 MLB Playoff Prediction

Will the Marlins stave off elimination on Wednesday night when they visit the Phillies at 8:08 p.m. ET? Or will the Phillies complete their two-game sweep when Aaron Nola takes the hill? Check out our Marlins vs. Phillies Game 2 prediction ahead of tonight’s MLB Wild Card game!

953 Miami Marlins (+130) at 954 Philadelphia Phillies (-155); o/u 8

8:08 p.m. ET, Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 70% of bets are on the Phillies’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.

Jorge Soler went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in the loss to the Phillies on Tuesday. It was Soler’s first postseason game since he hit a three-run homer in Game 6 of the 2021 World Series for the Braves. He was the World Series MVP that year. The Marlins are probably going to need him to bust out again if they’re going to score enough runs to go anywhere this October.

Trea Turner went 2-for-3 with a walk and two steals versus the Marlins in Tuesday’s Game 1. Turner hasn’t done a ton of basestealing in the postseason; he had two steals in his first ever postseason series, the 2006 NLDS, but just six total in 43 games. Tonight, though, he tried two and converted. Including the postseason, that makes 38 successful steals in a row since he was last caught on Sept. 5, 2022.

The OVER/UNDER has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games

The Phillies are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

Take the over. The current Phillies’ roster is batting .353 and owns a .440 wOBA against Miami starter Braxton Garrett. Their expected batting average against Garrett is also .374, with a .619 expected slugging percentage and a .444 xwOBA as well. Nola, meanwhile, has good numbers against the current Miami roster but he posted a 5.47 ERA over his final five starts.

Marlins vs. Phillies Game 2 MLB Playoffs Prediction: OVER 8