Rays vs. Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays (61-42) into a matchup with Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins (54-47) at Tropicana Field, on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Diaz is at .317, the fourth-best average in the league, while Arraez is first at .379.

The Marlins are an underdog away (+163) at the Rays (-195). The contest has a set total of 7.5.

The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of July 24, 2023 at 11:19 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Rays vs Marlins Betting Lines

Rays Betting Insights

• The Rays have entered the game as favorites 86 times this season and won 55, or 64%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 19-6, a 76% win rate, when favored by -195 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 66.1% chance to win.
• So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of 103 games with a total.
• The Rays have an ATS record of 56-47-0 in 103 games with a spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Marlins Betting Insights

• The Marlins have been victorious in 23, or 45.1%, of the 51 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a mark of 3-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +163 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 38% chance of walking away with the win.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of its 101 opportunities.
• In 101 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 46-55-0 against the spread.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow

• Glasnow’s team is 7-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
• Glasnow will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
• He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
• Glasnow’s team has a record of 5-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• In games Glasnow has started, his team is 5-5.
• Out of Glasnow’s 10 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera

• Cabrera (5-5 with a 4.50 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 72 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his 15th of the season.
• In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the righty tossed five innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, allowing one earned run while surrendering two hits.
• Cabrera has put up 10 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
• In one of his 15 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
• The Marlins are 3-5 in Cabrera’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Cabrera’s team has an 8-6 record in his starts this season.
• Cabrera has had 14 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and six of those matchups finished over the total.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Rays Hitting Trends

• The Rays are 35-12 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
• Tampa Bay has gone 25-2 in its 27 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The team has totaled at least eight hits in 71 games this season, and is 46-25 in those contests.
• Tampa Bay has a 45-18 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Rays are 19-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 12-19 in those matchups.
• Miami has won 16 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have a record of 44-37 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• In 47 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 36-11.
• They have a 12-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-195)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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