Penn State vs. Indiana odds, line, picks, bets: 2023 Week 9 on CBS predictions from proven computer model

No. 10 Penn State will host the Indiana Hoosiers in Big Ten action Saturday on CBS and Paramount+. Penn State has been one of the most dominant teams in the country at home this season, going 4-0 straight-up and against the spread while outscoring opponents, 195-22, over those contests. The Nittany Lions have won by an average of 43.3 points per game and haven't allowed a point over the last 11 quarters at home, so how will Indiana bode with a 2-5 record and losers of its last three Big Ten games by an average of 29.7 points per game?

The matchup on CBS will kick off at noon ET on Saturday from Beaver Stadium in Penn State University Park. The Nittany Lions are 31-point favorites in the latest Indiana vs. Penn State odds from the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 45.5. Before making any Penn State vs. Indiana picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Saturday's game can also be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Penn State vs. Indiana and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are the college football odds and trends for Indiana vs. Penn State:

• Penn State vs. Indiana spread: Penn State -31
• Penn State vs. Indiana over/under: 45.5 points 
• Penn State vs. Indiana money line: Penn State -9474, Indiana +2500
• Penn State vs. Indiana picks: See picks here
  
• Penn State vs. Indiana streaming: Paramount+

Why Penn State can cover

No. 10 Penn State has the most dominant defense in the country entering Week 9. The Nittany Lions have allowed the fewest total yards (1,527), yards per game (218.1) and yards per play (3.67) in the country over their 6-1 start. And the defense's statistical dominance isn't due to a soft schedule, as Penn State has played five games against Power 5 schools and held Ohio State to 20 points for just the Buckeyes' second time scoring 20 points or fewer over the last five seasons. That came in a 20-12 loss for the Nittany Lions.

Penn State is second in the Big Ten in rushing yards per game (181.3), led by the running back duo of Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen. The two have more than 400 rushing yards each while averaging at least 4.2 yards per carry. In comparison, Indiana has the worst rush defense in the Big Ten, allowing a conference-high 174.4 rushing yards per game on 4.7 yards per attempt. Penn State has substantial statistical advantages on both sides of the ball, which could lead to a one-sided affair on Saturday. See picks at SportsLine. 

Why Indiana can cover

Penn State has won 24 of 26 matchups between the schools, but that doesn't mean the Nittany Lions have completely dominated on the scoreboard. Their last five matchups have been decided by an average of 13.6 points, including Indiana knocking off Penn State, 36-35, in 2020. Penn State hasn't defeated Indiana by 32 points or greater in any of their last 17 matchups, last doing so in 2003.

Indiana has scored at least 14 points in four of its last five games and if it can find the end zone twice against Penn State, that could be enough to cover the 32-point spread. The Hoosiers hung with Ohio State earlier this season, losing 23-3 after entering as 30-point underdogs. Indiana had its best-rushing performance in four Big Ten contests last week, running for 153 yards on 29 carries (5.3 yards per rush) against Rutgers, and if the Hoosiers can sustain and finish some longer drives with a score, they can keep this contest within 32 points for the 18th straight time against Penn State. See picks at SportsLine.

How to make Indiana vs. Penn State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 47 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.