Petr Yan vs Song Yadong Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds
Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
Saturday, March 9, 2024
Petr Yan will enter the Octagon with Song Yadong at UFC 299 on Saturday, March 9, 2024. The opening line has Yan at -115 while Yadong is priced at -105.
Petr "No Mercy" Yan walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has an arm span of 67". Song "Kung Fu Kid" Yadong stands in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 21-7-1 (1 NC). The 26-year-old has an arm span of 67". In terms of significant strikes, Petr Yan connects on 5.03 per minute and Song Yadong is landing 4.38 significant strikes per min. Yan is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he tries and Yadong lands 42%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "No Mercy" allows 4.26 significant strikes per minute and "Kung Fu Kid" allows 3.73. Yan also stops 59% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Yadong curbs 57% of the strikes thrown his way.
Concerning grappling, Petr Yan is the more capable grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.71 times per 3 rds. Yan is scoring a takedown on 52% of his attempts and is stuffing 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Yadong is scoring a takedown on 58% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 73% of the tries against him. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Yan is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.1 submissions per 15 min while Yadong looks to get 0.2 submissions per 15 min.
In his previous fight, Petr Yan squared up with Merab Dvalishvili and wound up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 5. Dvalishvili landed 202 of 401 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Yan ended the night having landed 87 of 155 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Dvalishvili ended up landing 147 of 338, which gave him a percentage of 43%. He landed 91 of 260 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Yan ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by connecting on 75 of 143. Of all the significant strikes, he was 41 of 105 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes connected on by Dvalishvili and 88% of them connected on by Yan were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Song Yadong, he went up against Chris Gutierrez and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 5. Gutierrez ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Yadong connected on 63% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Yadong connected on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 77 of 165. He ended up landing 35 of 100 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gutierrez landed 87 of 145 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 8 of 39 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Gutierrez connected on 105 of 165 while Yadong ended up connecting on 160 of 283 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts on the card to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Curtis Blaydes enters the Octagon with Jailton Almeida. Blaydes has a record of 17-4-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Almeida measures 6'3" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 20-2-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of takedowns, Curtis Blaydes takes his opponents to the mat 5.93 times per 15 min while Jailton Almeida is able to score a takedown 5.14 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Blaydes is connecting on 3.56 strikes/min and landing 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Jailton Almeida, who connects on 64% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 2.78 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Rafael Dos Anjos is set to square up against Mateusz Gamrot. Gamrot has a record of 23-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Dos Anjos measures in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 32-15-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 70". When it comes to takedowns, Mateusz Gamrot prevents 90% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 30% of the times he tries. Dos Anjos is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of the tries he takes and curbs 56% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Gamrot is absorbing 3.17 strikes per minute while he dishes out 2.97 strikes per min. Dos Anjos, on the other hand, is taking 3.19 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.52 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Song Yadong (-105)
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