Pat Sabatini vs Lucas Almeida Pick, 6/17/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 75 Odds

Saturday, June 17, 2023

Pat Sabatini will face off against Lucas Almeida at UFC Vegas 75 on Saturday, June 17, 2023. The moneyline has Sabatini priced at -185 while Almeida is priced at +150.

Pat Sabatini steps into the cage holding a record of 17-4-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Lucas Almeida stands in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-1-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Concerning significant strikes, Pat Sabatini is connecting on 1.67 per min while Lucas Almeida lands 6.60 significant strikes per min. Sabatini connects on 55% of the significant strikes he attempts and Almeida is landing 47%. In terms of defending in the cage, Sabatini takes 1.50 significant strikes per min and Almeida absorbs 5.63. Sabatini also prevents 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Almeida defends against 48% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of grappling, Pat Sabatini is the more effective wrestler as he scores a takedown 3.75 times per 3 rds. Sabatini is scoring a takedown on 42% of the times he tries and stopping 42% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Almeida is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown attempts and is defending 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to sub attempts, Sabatini is the more able fighter by going for 1.9 subs per 3 rds while Almeida attempts 0.5 subs per 15 min.

In his last bout, Pat Sabatini went up against Damon Jackson and was defeated by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Jackson landed 16 of 27 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Sabatini ended the night having landed 1 of 3 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Jackson ended up landing 11 of 20, giving him a percentage of 55%. He finished the fight landing 11 of 20 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Sabatini landed 33% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 1 of 3. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 1 of 3 to the head. 27% of the significant strikes connected on by Jackson and 100% of them landed by Sabatini were done at distance.

In the last bout for Lucas Almeida, he squared up with Michael Trizano and took home the win by punches to the head in round 3. Trizano connected on 83% of his significant strikes at distance and Almeida ended up landing 72% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Almeida landed 49% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 75 of 152. He connected on 32 of 95 significant strikes to the head. Trizano landed 31 of 62 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 17 of 45 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Trizano ended up landing 42 of 74 and Almeida ended up landing 94 of 171 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Manuel Torres battles Nikolas Motta. Torres holds a career record of 13-2-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Motta comes in at 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 13-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 70". When it comes to grappling, Manuel Torres takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 15 min and Nikolas Motta takes his opponents down 0.50 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Torres lands 10.50 strikes per min and connects on 55% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Nikolas Motta, who lands 34% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.37 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Muslim Salikhov is set to square up in the Octagon against Nicolas Dalby. Dalby steps into the Octagon holding a record of 21-4-1 (2 NC). The 38-year-old weighs 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Salikhov measures 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 19-3-0. The 39-year-old stretches 70". In terms of grappling, Nicolas Dalby deflects 65% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 30% of the times he tries. Salikhov is taking his opponents down on 35% of his tries and stops 77% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Dalby is absorbing 3.35 strikes per min while he lands 3.74 per min. Salikhov, on the other hand, takes 2.43 strikes/minute and lands 3.30 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Lucas Almeida (+150)

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