Ciryl Gane vs Serghei Spivac Pick, 9/2/2023 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

Saturday, September 2, 2023

Ciryl Gane will face off against Serghei Spivac at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 2, 2023. The moneyline has Gane priced at -170 while Spivac is priced at +142.

Ciryl "Bon Gamin" Gane comes into this bout holding a record of 11-2-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 245 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 81". Serghei "Polar Bear" Spivac measures in at 6'3" and records a weight of 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-3-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 78". Concerning significant strikes, Ciryl Gane lands 5.08 per min and Serghei Spivac is landing 3.79 significant strikes per min. Gane lands 59% of the significant strikes he throws and Spivac is connecting on 51%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Bon Gamin" allows 2.25 significant strikes per min and "Polar Bear" takes 2.84. Gane also stops 62% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Spivac is able to curb 55% of the shots thrown.

In the grappling category, Ciryl Gane is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.61 times per 3 rds. Gane is finishing his takedown attempts on 21% of his attempts and is defending 45% of the tries against him. Spivac is taking his opponents down on 65% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Gane is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Spivac looks to get 0.6 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Ciryl Gane went up against Jon Jones and took a loss on the night by way of guillotine choke in round 1. Jones ended up landing 8 of 14 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Gane finished this fight landing 7 of 9 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Jones ended up landing 5 of 10, giving him a percentage of 50%. He landed 2 of 5 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Gane ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 6 of 8. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 1 of 3 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Jones and 100% of them landed by Gane were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Serghei Spivac, he faced off with Derrick Lewis and got a win for the night via an arm triangle in round 1. Lewis landed 33% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Spivac ended up landing 0% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Spivac ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 12 of 21. He ended up landing 12 of 21 significant strikes to the head. Lewis connected on 0 of 3 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 2 to the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Lewis ended up connecting on 0 of 3 and Spivac ended up connecting on 36 of 54 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Benoit Saint Denis opposes Thiago Moises. Saint Denis steps into the cage holding a record of 11-1-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'11". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Moises comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 70". In terms of takedowns, Benoit Saint Denis is averaging a takedown 3.80 times per 3 rounds while Thiago Moises gets a takedown 1.53 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Saint Denis tags his opponents 4.11 strikes per min and connects on 50% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Thiago Moises, who tags the opposition on 39% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 2.47 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Lucas Almeida is set to square up in the Octagon with William Gomis. Gomis looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-2-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 73". Almeida stands in at 5'11" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 71". Regarding takedowns, William Gomis curbs 71% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 60% of his attempts. Almeida is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries and is able to deflect 40% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Gomis absorbs 1.17 strikes/min and he is landing 1.97 per minute. Almeida, on the other hand, takes 5.29 strikes/min and connects on 5.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ciryl Gane (-170)

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