Phillies vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Kansas City Royals (35-75) aim to add to their six-game winning streak when they play the Philadelphia Phillies (59-50) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park.

The Royals (+195 underdog on the moneyline to win) are away versus the Phillies (-237). The total for this game is 9.

The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of August 3, 2023 at 11:23 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Phillies vs Royals Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 69 times and won 40, or 58%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won four of its five games when favored by at least -237 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 70.3% chance to win.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 45 of its 109 chances.
• The Phillies are 47-62-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Royals Betting Insights

• The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 96 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (32.3%) in those games.
• This season, Kansas City has come away with a win five times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +195 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 33.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 51 of 110 chances this season.
• The Royals have an against the spread mark of 47-63-0 in 110 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola

• When Nola starts, his team is 8-14-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• Nola has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 20 times. He averages 6.3 innings per appearance.
• He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 22 chances this season.
• Nola’s team has won 64.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-5).
• Nola’s team is 11-11 when he starts this season.
• In Nola’s 22 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles

• Lyles gets the start for the Royals, his 21st of the season. He is 2-12 with a 5.99 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 112 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last time out was on Saturday against the Minnesota Twins, when the right-hander threw five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
• Lyles will look to pitch five or more innings for his 12th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
• In one of his 20 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
• The Royals have a 2-16 record in Lyles’ 18 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Over Lyles’ 20 starts, his team is 2-18.
• Lyles’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 10 of 20 games.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Phillies Hitting Trends

• The Phillies are 22-8 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
• Philadelphia is 18-7 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
• The club has collected at least eight hits in 70 games this season, and is 44-26 in those contests.
• Philadelphia has a 39-8 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Phillies are 25-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 26 games this season and are 11-15 in those matchups.
• In 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-15.
• They have won 26 of the 62 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• Kansas City has a 23-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 4-11

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-237)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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