Phillies vs. Braves Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies (23-26) visit the Atlanta Braves (30-19) in NL East play, at 7:20 PM ET on Thursday.

Oddsmakers project the Phillies as a tight favorite (-114 moneyline odds to win) against the Braves (-105). The game’s total is 9.

The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of May 25, 2023 at 7:18 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Phillies vs Braves Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 15 out of the 29 games, or 51.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season Philadelphia has won 15 of its 28 games, or 53.6%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 53.3% chance to win.
• Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 19 of 42 chances this season.
• The Phillies are 19-23-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Braves Betting Insights

• The Braves have been chosen as underdogs in five games this year and have walked away with the win two times (40%) in those games.
• Atlanta has a mark of 1-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Atlanta has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 26 of 41 chances this season.
• In 41 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 15-26-0 against the spread.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Phillies or Braves, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola

• Nola and his team have a record of 4-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• Nola has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
• Nola’s team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Nola’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
• In Nola’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Braves Probable Pitcher – Dylan Dodd

• The Braves are sending Dodd (2-1) out to make his fourth start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 6.46 ERA and seven strikeouts over 15 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Thursday, May 4, the lefty tossed six innings against the Miami Marlins, allowing three earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• Dodd heads into this matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
• The Braves were named the moneyline underdog for one Dodd start this season — they won.
• Dodd’s team is 2-1 in his three starts.
• Dodd’s two starts with a total this season both went over.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Phillies Hitting Trends

• The Phillies are 10-3 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
• Philadelphia has gone 11-2 in its 13 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has strung together at least eight hits 35 times this season, and has a 21-14 record in those games.
• Philadelphia is 19-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 16 games this season, and are 11-5 in those contests.

Braves Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 16-7 in those matchups.
• Atlanta is undefeated in 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• In 36 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 24-12.
• Atlanta has a 24-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-8

Phillies vs. Braves Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.