Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 7-24-23 MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action from American Family Field. Cincinnati is fresh off a weekend matchup versus the Diamondbacks. The Reds won the first pair with 13 runs scored in two games, then on Sunday Cincinnati finished off the sweep with another high-scoring victory. As for Milwaukee, they split their first weekend pair versus the Braves. In the Sunday rubber match, the Brewers lost by two. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Cincinnati Reds 

The Reds managed to power out a 9-6 win over the Diamondbacks in the Friday game, then followed that up with a 4-2 win Saturday. Cincinnati’s Spencer Steer and TJ Friedl each notched two hits in game two. In the finale the Reds had another great offensive effort with 13 team hits in a 7-3 win. Christian Encarnacion-Strand finished with two hits and two RBI. Nick Senzel also had a homer with two RBI. 

For the starter job Monday the Reds will send out Graham Ashcraft. Over his 18 starts this season Ashcraft is 5-7 with a 5.77 ERA and 66 Ks in 93.2 innings. Ashcraft posted a win over the Giants in his last start with 6.0 innings and two earned runs. 

Milwaukee Brewers 

Over on the Milwaukee side, they lost to the Braves 6-4 Friday but came back for a 4-3 win in game two. The victory was thanks in large part to Sal Frelick, who had three hits, two RBI and a run. On Sunday the Brewers had a lead going into the eighth but coughed it up in a 4-2 defeat. Christian Yelich posted two hits, and Brice Turang added a solo homer in the loss. 

In the starter slot for Milwaukee Monday, it’ll be Colin Rea. Over his 17 games (16 starts) so far Rea is 5-4 with a 4.64 ERA and 70 Ks in 85.1 innings. Rea posted a no-decision versus the Phillies his last time up with two earned in 5.0 innings on five hits and no walks. 

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

• The Brewers have won each of their last eight games as home favourites against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six night games following a loss.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last five games against the Reds at American Family Field.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last six games between the Reds and Brewers at American Family Field.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Monday games.

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

• The Reds have won 14 of their last 15 night games following a win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs following a win.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have lost the first inning in each of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record at American Family Field.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last six games at American Family Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 29th in the league for hits this season (757).
• The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for batting average this season (.231).
• The Cincinnati Reds ranks 1st in the league for steals this season (117).
• The Cincinnati Reds ranks 3rd in the league for walks this season (363).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’ll stay with the Reds. Ashcraft is 2-1 in his last three games and pitching well. In that trio Ashcraft has four combined earned runs on 17 hits and seven walks in 18.0 innings. He’s gone 6.0 innings in each of those outings and should be able to work deep into the game here. On Sunday Cincinnati kept the offensive train rolling. That makes three or more runs in six straight games, and 25 runs scored in the last four. I like the Reds to keep it rolling.